by Gouda » Tue May 23, 2006 6:14 am
I admit that i can't really make heads or tales of this one, other than there is something really rotten here - and our <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>Telegraph</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> defense correspondent, wittingly or not, raises a million questions (or sends out a million signals) for receptive players, stakeholders, politicians, strategists, and students of the grand chessboard. Perhaps also to gauge reaction. <br><br>Sure, this is yet another leaked scoop, reporting that some brass are "shopping around" with a "wish list" and merely "getting quotes" - so, this should NOT be considered some kind of done deal, yet, I don't think. <br><br>We do know this:<br><br>* There is no "Afghan" nation. An "Afghan National Army" does not exist and will not exist any time this generation.<br><br>* The arms shipment discussed is way, way too heavy to handle for this type of a small, untrained, disunited army. <br><br>* Elements of expert colonial power, Britain, seem to be in the loop on this brewing deal. <br><br>* Things are getting worse in Afghanistan <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>because</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> of the drug trade and <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>due</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> to western intervention. Things are getting worse despite the "stabilizing" presence of NATO and the UN. <br><br>* The Afghan government is compromised, weak and corrupt. A perfect tool, in fact. The poor farmers are being victimized and used. Kabul itself has become a vast divide between the ultra-wealthy and secure, and the rest of the damned masses. There is no national unity or coherence, and most afghans trust their "government" like they trust anyone too far removed from their families, clans, tribes: Not. <br><br>* Relations between Karzai and Musharraf have been worsening. (Not that either will survive until 2008 or 2009 or anything, but still...)<br><br>* Things are not looking up for US interests in central asia at the moment. Many of the Stans seem to be siding with Russia. <br><br>* Iran, neighbor, wildcard. <br><br>Double-take items reported in the <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>Telegraph</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> article:<br><br>* "Pentagon chiefs have asked arms suppliers for a quote on a vast amount of ordnance, including more than 78 million rounds of AK47 ammunition, 100,000 rocket-propelled grenades and 12,000 tank shells - equivalent to <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>about 15 times the British Army's annual requirements</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END-->...but: "<!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>The Afghan army is 35,000 strong but is expected to grow to 70,000 trained soldiers by 2009.</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END-->" <br><br>That does not add up too well. Or it does for some. <br><br>* Huh? Ominous: "It would allow Kabul to defend its borders against outside interference but <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>could also be used for offensive operations against neighbours such as the old enemy, Pakistan</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END-->."<br><br>Questions: <br><br>* Why would the Pentagon be cooperating with Russia, avowed Eurasian enemy? Why would the US forego profit on such a large transaction? Is it the old stir up a beehive and scram tactic? <br><br>* Which <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>part</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> of the Pentagon would want to do this? Is this uniform, coordinated & cleared by the Rumsfeld regime? Is this uniform, coordinated & cleared by the higher foreign war policy elite? Is this the Military-Industrial-Spook complex baring its supra-governmental power again, overriding any and all national interest? OK, yes, but how and for what?<br><br>* Was the Karzai government consulted on this, or is it all still so naked that military deals are made FOR him? Maybe this news is a surprise to even him. Maybe not. <br><br>* Is the US thinking ahead to a time when they will need another type of Iran-Iraq conflict (Afghanistan-Pakistan)? Or could this simply be a friendly threat to Pakistan, which may not be cooperating on something presently? Pakistan and Bush are implicated in 911, and so are many of the top democrats, so it might be convenient for Pakistan to fall into a chaos that needs tidying up should 2008 presidential planning become more unpredictable. But what would be the role and interest of Russia in a hyper road-warriorized afghanistan? <br><br>* Well, could the US be considering "handing off" Afghanistan to Russia in some sort of compromise trade?<br><br>* Since this is just another leaked "wish list," could this also be partial or total disinformation? <br><br>One thing is sure: they, the transatlantic and the eurasian sharks, are using afghanistan as bargaining chip - and oh yes, they need really more ammo there...<br><br><!--EZCODE IMAGE START--><img src="http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2006/WORLD/asiapcf/05/23/afghanistan/t1.afghan.boy.ap.jpg" style="border:0;"/><!--EZCODE IMAGE END--> <p></p><i>Edited by: <A HREF=http://p216.ezboard.com/brigorousintuition.showUserPublicProfile?gid=gouda@rigorousintuition>Gouda</A> at: 5/23/06 4:36 am<br></i>