Nuclear Meltdown Watch

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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby 23 » Mon Mar 14, 2011 2:12 pm

Perhaps it may make more sense if you shifted your perspective a bit.

From that of addressing the problem as a result of the 8.9 earthquake that originally created it, to preparing for the consequences of an imminent and minimum 7.0 aftershock that many experts are saying will follow.

I suspect that their efforts are geared more towards the latter objective.
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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby 82_28 » Mon Mar 14, 2011 2:23 pm

Apologies if already posted. . .

Japan has asked IAEA for expert help: UN watchdog

Japan has officially asked the UN atomic watchdog to send a team of experts to help in the current nuclear crisis, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) chief Yukiya Amano said Monday.

"Today, the government of Japan asked the agency to provide expert missions. We are in discussions with Japan on the details," Amano told IAEA member states in a closed-door technical briefing at the watchdog's Vienna headquarters.

As soon as the devastating earthquake hit Japan on Friday, damaging the Fukushima nuclear plant located 250 kilometres northeast of Tokyo, the IAEA made a formal offer of assistance to the government.

Japanese-born Amano described the 8.9-magnitude earthquake and the devastating tsunami it triggered as "a tragedy of cataclysmic proportions.

This has been one of the greatest natural disasters of modern times, the full extent of which is still becoming clear."

The events of the last few days were "truly unprecedented," Amano continued. "The modern infrastructure of a highly industrialized country has been dealt a devastating blow by the immense destructive power of nature. I send my deepest condolences to the people and government of Japan."

The giant nuclear plant of Fukushima was damaged by the quake, with two explosions hitting separate reactor units there.

But "the reactor vessels have held and radioactive release is limited," Amano insisted.

Earlier, the IAEA had issued a statement saying the Japanese authorities had reported that Fukushima Daiichi Unit 2 had "experienced decreasing coolant levels in the reactor core."

Officials had begun to inject sea water into the reactor to maintain cooling of the reactor core, it said.

And sea water injections into Units 1 and 3 had been interrupted on Sunday "due to a low level in a sea water supply reservoir, but sea water injections have now been restored at both units."


http://www.montrealgazette.com/news/Jap ... story.html
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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby norton ash » Mon Mar 14, 2011 2:27 pm

23 wrote:Perhaps it may make more sense if you shifted your perspective a bit.

From that of addressing the problem as a result of the 8.9 earthquake that originally created it, to preparing for the consequences of an imminent and minimum 7.0 aftershock that many experts are saying will follow.

I suspect that their efforts are geared more towards that latter objective.


And dealing with the issue of which responders are on a suicide mission, or the implications of millions trapped on islands.

A lot going on, and many reasons to stay quiet, sad to say. This can only be a worst-case strategic-- and ethical-- dilemma.
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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby Laodicean » Mon Mar 14, 2011 2:30 pm

Image

After explosion(s). Source
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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby chump » Mon Mar 14, 2011 2:34 pm

Some more info about MOX fuel:

http://sherriequestioningall.blogspot.c ... s-mox.html


Japan - Exploded Nuclear Plant Uses MOX Fuel - Not Uranium! What is that? Just 2 MILLION Times WORSE than Uranium or Chernobyl's Meltdown!

I am so Astounded that the Japanese have as many Nuclear Power Plants that they have on the most seismic place in the world! How they did not have 100 different back up plans is beyond me! Why didn't they have their generators 50 feet in the air in case of tsunamis? I have thought of tons of questions regarding it all!

I am sadden by the tragedy in the first place, now the Man made tragedy is unfolding that is a million times worse than the natural tragedy!

We all know some of Japan's nuclear power plants are in trouble and one exploded.

What is NOT Being released is the FUEL used in that plant! I read about it and decided to research it! I am SHOCKED at what I found! This power plant meltdown can be 2 MILLION times Worse than Chernobyl! This could make the whole country of Japan uninhabitable, besides being carried around the world!

This is truly Sickening! In fact it really makes you wonder WHY they did not have 100 safety precautions in place! How dare they use MOX in a nuclear power plant in a place that is known for the biggest quakes and tsunamis! Besides Japan putting their plants right along side the ocean!

Read this whole post to understand the FULL ramifications of this Nuclear Plant Meltdown! There is a Power Point Presentation the UN put together for MOX fuel I downloaded it - but there is not a link to go to for it. I can't insert power point presentations here either.

Here is what I have found:

http://search.japantimes.co.jp/cgi-bin/ ... 823a7.html
FUKUSHIMA (Kyodo) Tokyo Electric Power Co. on Saturday loaded a nuclear reactor in Fukushima Prefecture with MOX, a controversial fuel made with reprocessed plutonium and uranium oxides, as it prepares to become the leading power utility's first facility to go pluthermal.

The No. 3 reactor at Tepco's Fukushima No. 1 plant will be the nation's third pluthermal facility, but only the first to be refurbished since the plant was built 34 years ago.


Tokyo Electric plans to activate the reactor on Sept. 18 and let it start generating electricity on Sept. 23. (2010)

***Recognize that plant name? Yeah, it is the one that blew up****

http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/inf29.html
about Mox use in nuclear plants

http://archive.greenpeace.org/nuclear/t ... ipsumm.pdf
Green peace information about Mox going to Japan and their very strong concerns about it

http://brc.gov/Reactor_Fuel_Cycle_Techn ... uation.pdf
A Tepco - Japanese professor about Mox/uranium

http://www.inmm.org/scriptcontent/PNNL/ ... 0paper.pdf
DOE - info on Mox and transportation of it

http://www.ieer.org/ensec/no-3/main.html

The joint study cites a number of safety precautions necessary in the fabrication of MOX fuel relative to uranium fuel. MOX fuel emits higher gamma radiation and much higher neutron radiation than uranium fuel. Therefore, a separate fresh fuel storage facility designed for MOX only fuel containers for on-site use, and transport equipment for fresh fuel may be necessary. Dust resulting from MOX fabrication is also a concern for worker safety because of the dangers of inhaling plutonium (see article on health effects of plutonium).


more at link

=============
from the link:

http://www.nirs.org/reactorwatch/mox/puupdat4.txt

Main Story: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF MOX FUEL IN LIGHT WATER
REACTORS (LWR)/ THE REACTOR OPTION

1. How Does It Work? Major Differences From Conventional LWRs

Proponents of burning plutonium in mixed-oxide(MOX) fuel in LWRs
often say that since plutonium already exists in the burned
uranium fuel and is still burning, there will not be a big
difference by increasing the amount of plutonium a little bit.
The fact is that great effort is put to make it "not a big
difference."

In conventional LWRs, the uranium fuel has about 3% fissile
uranium-235 and the rest is non-fissile uranium-238. When
fissile uranium absorbs a neutron, it starts fissioning and
releases energy, emitting several neutrons. One neutron will
likely start another fission, creating a chain reaction, but the
other neutrons must be controlled so that it will not make a
massive reaction which will induce an uncontrolled chain
reaction. Control rods are designed to absorb the extra neutrons.
But some neutrons are also absorbed by the non-fissile
uranium-238 and this decays into fissile plutonium-239.

In the beginning, the plutonium content is zero and the fissile
uranium is about 3%. The fissile uranium decreases as they burn,
creating plutonium at the same time. At the end of one reactor
cycle, the content of fissile uranium is about 0.7%-0.8%,
approximately equal to the content of fissile plutonium-239 that
is created.(1)

In the case of MOX fuel used in one-third of a LWR core, the
plutonium content is roughly 4% from the beginning, which is
approximately 5 times more than that in the end of one cycle of a
uranium fuel. This is a significant difference in terms of
core nuclear physics.(2)

In a fast reactor, plutonium content of MOX fuel can be up to
50%. In the option to burn plutonium in CANDU reactors, the MOX
fuel content could be 100% core.(3) But this has not been
tested, nor is there any experience at all of burning plutonium
fuel in CANDU reactors.

All light water reactors are designed to burn uranium fuel.
Thus the nuclear physics of MOX fuels must be adapted to be as
similar as possible to that of uranium fuel. The MOX fuel
assemblies should be able to be operated as uranium assemblies
without any restriction to the level of power, performance or
safety.

#Various Types of Fuel Assemblies Necessary To Burn MOX

In order to achieve the same performance as normal LWR, the fuel
assemblies are made into various types with different plutonium
and uranium contents. Usually, MOX fuel assembly designs for
pressurized water reactors use three types of plutonium contents,
1.9%, 2.3% and 3.3%.(4) For boiling water reactors, four to six
different plutonium contents designs are used.(5) Another
difference is that, because of the intensity of plutonium's
thermal energy, plutonium fuel pellets cannot be of the same form
as uranium fuel. It could be in the form of a donut where the
central part is void to let the heat dissipate. But this type of
a fuel pellet is likely to collapse.(6) All these factors make
the fuel production extremely complicated and difficult, compared
to the one-standard uranium fuel for conventional LWRs.

#Reduced Efficacy of Control Rods

Control rods work by absorbing neutrons in the reactor core, so
maintaining stable power conditions. Criticality depends on the
small fraction of neutrons produced in the fission of uranium or
plutonium which are generated with a delay of about ten
seconds.(7) This time difference makes it possible to control
the power level by mechanically inserting additional control rods
into the core.

However, the fraction of delayed-neutrons in Pu-239 is about one-
third that of uranium-235, which means that the reactor is more
sensitive to variations in power.(8) In addition, plutonium
has a slightly higher propensity to capture thermal neutrons than
uranium. Therefore the efficacy of control rods is somewhat
reduced, and safety margins are lower. The additional demands on
control systems are largest for those plutonium fuels in which
plutonium-239 content is highest, as in MOX fuel using weapon-
grade plutonium.(9) For these reasons, the MOX fuel assemblies
should be placed away from the control rods.

The higher average energy of the neutron spectrum of MOX also
increases the rate of radiation damage to structural materials in
and around the core. This could cause embrittlement of the
reactor vessel in the end, which is another factor for safety
concerns.
--
#Danger of Losing Control of the Reactor Is Greater with MOX

Conventional LWRs are designed to decrease the reactivity when
the temperature rises. But when using Pu-239 as fuel, heating of
the core from an increase in reaction rate tends to increase the
reaction rate still further. This is called the positive
temperature coefficient of reactivity, meaning there is a danger
of losing control of the reactor by accelerated chain reaction of
fissioning.(10)


#Accident Scenario When Burning MOX
Accidents involving overheating and meltdown are possible in any
nuclear reactors. In such accidents, not only would readily
volatile noble gases, like iodine and caesium be released
to the environment, but a small portion of the actinides,
including plutonium and neptunium would be released. As the
activity of the actinides is substantially higher in the case of
MOX, the consequences of such severe accidents become more
serious.

When MOX fuels are used, the probability of having such serious
accidents or trouble would increase due to the high content of
plutonium in the fuel. Even if an accident is not a serious one,
it could become serious since even a small portion of the
inventory of actinides released to the environment could cause
significant radiological consequences.

According to a comparative analysis of possible consequences of a
core meltdown accident in the German Kruemmel nuclear power plant
with and without the use of MOX fuel(17):
*The radiation exposure from inhalation of radioactive materials
during the passage of the radioactive cloud is higher by several
dozen percent than if uranium fuel elements were exclusively
used.
*Radiation exposure through the route of inhalation of
remobilized long-lived actinide isotopes is more than doubled.
*The land areas to become out of use by long-term contamination
increases as the resuspension pathway is a limiting factor and
the greater part of the dose resulting from the pathway comes
from the actinides.(18)
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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby 23 » Mon Mar 14, 2011 2:40 pm

norton ash wrote:And dealing with the issue of which responders are on a suicide mission, or the implications of millions trapped on islands.

*sighs* Indeed. This is especially heartbreaking to me personally.

A lot going on, and many reasons to stay quiet, sad to say. This can only be a worst-case strategic-- and ethical-- dilemma.

I have never been a proponent of those reasons to stay quiet, though. Most governments act as benevolent patriarchies. Believing that lieing to its constituents is an act of love. Nohing can be further from the truth.


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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby nathan28 » Mon Mar 14, 2011 2:45 pm

Nordic wrote:
JackRiddler wrote:.

This should teach you not to fall for things (me, too: I fall for things). If you see a claim that one nuclear reactor meltdown is going to kill everyone on the West Coast in two weeks, it's easy nowadays to look up whether there's any plausibility to the scenario.



I didn't "fall for it". I just found it, and was sharing it. In fact, I was just looking at the direction of the plume, I actually didn't even notice that it was claiming to kill everybody on the West Coast in two weeks.




I really don't get this thread to start with.

The first red flag in that PANIC!!! Map was that it was posted in "rads," which if I understand correctly is a deprecated unit of measurement--it's from the slide rule days. To know how much radiation you got you needed to know both the "rads" and the "quality" to get the calculation, then compare that against a chart. I think.

Second. Chernobyl was really bad and so was 3 Mile Island, and not millions of people died from either, and the effects were regional, not hemispheric.

That said, Japan is different because so many people live on the Island. There will be a lot of deaths from radiation sickness, a lot of deaths from cancer, and a lot of displaced people. "Millions" wouldn't surprise me. It's goddamn awful.

Third, NOT ONE PERSON has mentioned that this is not the first nuclear disaster the Japanese have suffered, possibly b/c so many posters here are Americans. That map was, if anything, a combination of egocentrism and poetic justice.

Fourth, if it goes into meltDOWN it goes into the damn ground. After fires and other things that create fallout subside, that's it for anyone who doesn't live nearby.

Now, I have little doubt that the l/t effects of fallout are greatly underreported. We know that in Okinawa fishermen who were far from test blasts none the less experience higher cancer rates than would be expected, and IIRC the US gov't ended up settling a lawsuit with them.

And frankly the sources of radiation you're likely exposed to are things you probably don't think about. Construction sites release something like 10X more than normal. Smoking is going to increase your exposure by about 30-fold. Etc. Lastly, don't take spirullina or cholerella if you're worried about radiation thinking it's good for you unless you really think that liver failure is better than radiation poisoning.

None of this minimizes the simple fact that a huge portion of a very small island with close to 100 million people is now completely lethal.
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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby JackRiddler » Mon Mar 14, 2011 3:01 pm

.

QFT:

nathan28 wrote:That said, Japan is different because so many people live on the Island. There will be a lot of deaths from radiation sickness, a lot of deaths from cancer, and a lot of displaced people. "Millions" wouldn't surprise me. It's goddamn awful.

Third, NOT ONE PERSON has mentioned that this is not the first nuclear disaster the Japanese have suffered, possibly b/c so many posters here are Americans. That map was, if anything, a combination of egocentrism and poetic justice.

Fourth, if it goes into meltDOWN it goes into the damn ground. After fires and other things that create fallout subside, that's it for anyone who doesn't live nearby.

Now, I have little doubt that the l/t effects of fallout are greatly underreported. We know that in Okinawa fishermen who were far from test blasts none the less experience higher cancer rates than would be expected, and IIRC the US gov't ended up settling a lawsuit with them.

And frankly the sources of radiation you're likely exposed to are things you probably don't think about. Construction sites release something like 10X more than normal. Smoking is going to increase your exposure by about 30-fold. Etc. Lastly, don't take spirullina or cholerella if you're worried about radiation thinking it's good for you unless you really think that liver failure is better than radiation poisoning.

None of this minimizes the simple fact that a huge portion of a very small island with close to 100 million people is now completely lethal.


You're absolutely right sir and I should have said all this myself.

I've participated in irrelevant kibbitzing with decided non-issues.

It's hard to deal with the enormity, especially given our complete irrelevance in being able to do anything at all about it while the meltdowns are happening. Soon we should all join in what will no doubt be a renewed push to end nuclear power and create the alternative energies (starting by tapping into the biggest reserve of all, which is in scaling back consumption).

But in the meantime? What we say here about any ongoing political issue might actually have its teensy-quantum effect, but there is no solidarity demonstration we can attend or petition or whatever that calls on the disaster to slow down. Because it's going to run its course, and only a handful of engineers and emergency personnel might make a difference in that. We sit here, watching something analogous to of the Towers falling on live TV, not with thousands but millions of people in them, and not in seconds but over the course of days. I pray for them, that's literally all that this case leaves to the atheist.

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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby Laodicean » Mon Mar 14, 2011 3:12 pm

Japan's nuclear problems pose little danger to U.S., Nuclear Regulatory Commission chief says

Gregory Jaczko, chairman of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, says there is 'a very low probability' of harmful radiation levels affecting any U.S. territories. Jaczko says the U.S. is providing technical assistance to Japanese officials in response to the crisis at Fukushima No. 1 (Daiichi) nuclear power plant.

The threat to the United States of a meltdown at a Japanese nuclear plant is minimal, the chairman of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission said Monday.

Speaking at the White House, Gregory Jaczko said there is "a very low probability" of harmful radiation levels affecting any U.S. territories, and that the government is providing technical assistance to Japanese officials in response to the crisis at Fukushima No. 1 (Daiichi) nuclear power plant.

"Right now, based on the information we have, we believe that the steps that the Japanese are taking to respond to this crisis are consistent with the approach that we would use here in the United States," Jaczko said. "We advise Americans in Japan to listen to and to follow the instructions of the Japanese government with regard to the nuclear facilities."

White House spokesman Jay Carney said that President Obama has been briefed multiple times since Friday's earthquake and tsunami. The White House counter-terrorism advisor, John Brennan, is coordinating the administration's response.

Officials also told reporters that the U.S. is well-equipped to respond to events like the one in Japan. The government reviewed its readiness to deal with natural disasters in the wake of the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami.

"We believe we have a very solid and strong regulatory infrastructure in place right now," Jaczko said.

Amid calls for a moratorium on construction of any new domestic plants, Deputy Secretary of Energy Daniel Poneman said nuclear power must be considered as part of any energy strategy. He said 20% of all U.S. energy comes from nuclear power, and it accounts for 70% of all carbon-free energy.

"We do see nuclear power as continuing to play an important role in building a low-carbon future. But be assured that we will take the safety aspect of that as our paramount concern," he said.

Two experts from the NRC are on the ground in Japan, primarily working with the U.S. Embassy there and also keeping in contact with their Japanese counterparts. The United States stands prepared to offer additional support as requested, the officials said.

Monday brought not only continued concern over loss of life and the threat of a nuclear meltdown, but questions over whether the Japanese economy can withstand the devastating blow of multiple disasters. Carney said Obama has "full confidence in the capacity of Japan to address the economic challenges."


http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la ... 9897.story
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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby nathan28 » Mon Mar 14, 2011 3:26 pm

JackRiddler wrote:But in the meantime? What we say here about any ongoing political issue might actually have its teensy-quantum effect, but there is no solidarity demonstration we can attend or petition or whatever that calls on the disaster to slow down.


That doesn't exclude the need for solidarity, though. And you (the impersonal you, not you, Riddler) don't show that by trying to claim the disaster for your own. That's panic-infotainment and because real people are going to die in very large numbers it borders on obscenity to engage in it... Stop that. This is a real problem with real effects and real victims, not a phantasmagoric one that only impacts someone on the other side of the world's pituitary gland.
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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby Julia W » Mon Mar 14, 2011 3:37 pm

March 13, 2011
Joe Cirincione, Sen. Mitch McConnell on Crisis in Japan; Sens. Mark Warner, Sen. Saxby Chambliss on Efforts to Cut Deficit | Fox News Sunday
With: Chris Wallace
http://www.foxnews.com/on-air/fox-news- ... bliss-effo

Last updated at 6:37 PM on 14th March 2011
America on nuclear alert: Could fallout from Japan explosion reach U.S. West Coast?By Daily Mail Reporter
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... -HOUR.html
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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby 82_28 » Mon Mar 14, 2011 3:47 pm

While watching TV last night, they reported that the Japanese PM declared that this is the worst disaster to befall Japan since WWII. I put natural disasters and for-profit wars in two different mental camps myself. Not to read too much into this though, my next thought was "who is profiting"? To chalk WWII up to a "natural disaster" and compare the two, one a for profit crime against humanity and the other, well, who the fuck knows in this day and age anymore HAARP, natural course of things, tulpas, prayers, brown dwarfs, aliens, whatever.

Who is profiting and what the fuck is this "profit" they speak of? Like what do you get besides money which is meaningless anyhow to 80% of Earth's humans when you win?
There is no me. There is no you. There is all. There is no you. There is no me. And that is all. A profound acceptance of an enormous pageantry. A haunting certainty that the unifying principle of this universe is love. -- Propagandhi
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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby JackRiddler » Mon Mar 14, 2011 3:52 pm

nathan28 wrote:
JackRiddler wrote:But in the meantime? What we say here about any ongoing political issue might actually have its teensy-quantum effect, but there is no solidarity demonstration we can attend or petition or whatever that calls on the disaster to slow down.


That doesn't exclude the need for solidarity, though. And you (the impersonal you, not you, Riddler) don't show that by trying to claim the disaster for your own. That's panic-infotainment and because real people are going to die in very large numbers it borders on obscenity to engage in it... Stop that. This is a real problem with real effects and real victims, not a phantasmagoric one that only impacts someone on the other side of the world's pituitary gland.


You have my full agreement.

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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby 82_28 » Mon Mar 14, 2011 3:58 pm

hahaha. Just saw your avatar Jack. Good one on numerous levels. :backtotopic:
There is no me. There is no you. There is all. There is no you. There is no me. And that is all. A profound acceptance of an enormous pageantry. A haunting certainty that the unifying principle of this universe is love. -- Propagandhi
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Re: Nuclear Meltdown Watch

Postby Nordic » Mon Mar 14, 2011 4:00 pm

We sit here, watching something analogous to of the Towers falling on live TV, not with thousands but millions of people in them, and not in seconds but over the course of days.


Exactly. And right now seems analogous to the time during 9/11 when they told the workers to go back into the buildings, because they were oh so "SAFE".

Ya know?
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