Heatwaves

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Re: Heatwaves

Postby wintler2 » Fri Mar 30, 2012 8:43 pm

IPCC to govts - plan for extreme weather disasters

Global warming is leading to such severe storms, droughts and heat waves that nations should prepare for an unprecedented onslaught of deadly and costly weather disasters, an international panel of climate scientists says in a report issued Wednesday.

The greatest danger from extreme weather is in highly populated, poor regions of the world, the report warns, but no corner of the globe _ from Mumbai to Miami _ is immune. The document by a Nobel Prize-winning panel of climate scientists forecasts stronger tropical cyclones and more frequent heat waves, deluges and droughts.
...
Some other specific changes in severe weather that the scientists said they had the most confidence in predicting include more heat waves and record hot temperatures worldwide, increased downpours in Alaska, Canada, northern and central Europe, East Africa and north Asia,

IPCC Chairman Rajendra Pachauri told The Associated Press that while all countries are getting hurt by increased climate extremes, the overwhelming majority of deaths are happening in poorer less developed places. That, combined with the fact that richer countries are generating more greenhouse gases from the burning of fossil fuels, makes the issue of weather extremes one of fairness.

However, extremes aren't always deadly. Sometimes, they are just strange.

Study co-author David Easterling of the National Climatic Data Center says this month's heat wave, while not deadly, fits the pattern of worsening extremes. The U.S. has set nearly 6,800 high temperature records in March. Last year, the United States set a record for billion-dollar weather disasters, though many were tornadoes, which can't be linked to global warming.

"When you start putting all these events together, the insurance claims, it's just amazing,'' Easterling said. "It's pretty hard to deny the fact that there's got to be some climate signal.''

Northeastern University engineering and environment professor Auroop Ganguly, who didn't take part in writing the IPCC report, praised it and said the extreme weather it highlights "is one of the major and important types of what we would call `global weirding.''' It's a phrase that some experts have been starting to use more to describe climate extremes.
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Re: Heatwaves

Postby Nordic » Sat Mar 31, 2012 2:43 am

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"He who wounds the ecosphere literally wounds God" -- Philip K. Dick
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Re: Heatwaves

Postby wintler2 » Sun Apr 01, 2012 5:42 pm

Eighth heatwave set to smash Perth
Perth is on track to again smash weather records, with the eighth heatwave in five months about to hit the city.

Weatherzone senior meteorologist Brett Dutschke said the next heatwave is forecast to start today with a maximum temperature of 38 degrees, followed by highs of 38 or 39 degrees until Monday. ...


Perth has many beautiful beaches .. shame about the four fatal shark attacks in last five months (and wheres that animal resistance thread gone?). The increasing attacks maybe be due to hunger due to changes in Antarctic ocean circulation patterns, which play a role in their heatwaves too...
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Re: Heatwaves

Postby chump » Sun Apr 01, 2012 8:08 pm

Wow, Colorado is hot and dry! No snow in March - which is unheard of! March is usually our snowiest month. There is no snow in the mountains, and the mountains are burning. The trees have bloomed all over town. 84 degrees yesterday, and 82 right now. Summer is here! Almost... Tomorrow: High of 45, and hopefully some showers.

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Re: Heatwaves

Postby Marie Laveau » Sun Apr 01, 2012 11:38 pm

Someone the other forum I'm on said Bill McKibben announced his retirement and said, "They won."

:(

I don't think they have, though. A friend said, "Even their 'victory' is a lie." The gods help me, that makes sense to me, and I hope she's right.

Oh, and I'm in Montana and east of the continental divide they are fighting fire after fire over there. WAY too early. Way, way too early. :(
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Re: Heatwaves

Postby Pele'sDaughter » Tue Apr 03, 2012 2:40 pm

Conditions were perfect for severe weather today, and we've got it in spades. The first tornado appeared just a few miles from my house and headed north on I35 toward Lancaster and has remained on the ground for 30 minutes. They're calling it a very large and dangerous tornado. At the same time, another large one formed in Kennedale just south of I20 and is now heading through Arlington. :shock:


Streaming video for anyone who's interested:
http://www.wfaa.com/home/related/Watch- ... 69727.html
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Re: Heatwaves

Postby NeonLX » Tue Apr 03, 2012 4:33 pm

Stay safe, Pele'sDaughter...
America is a fucked society because there is no room for essential human dignity. Its all about what you have, not who you are.--Joe Hillshoist
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Re: Heatwaves

Postby Pele'sDaughter » Tue Apr 03, 2012 5:40 pm

Thank you for your concern, NeonLX. It seems very quiet right now but we're under watch until later tonight. All of my friends, family, coworkers, etc. are okay, too.
Don't believe anything they say.
And at the same time,
Don't believe that they say anything without a reason.
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Re: Heatwaves

Postby Nordic » Tue Apr 03, 2012 10:48 pm

Just saw over at cryptogon.com that the worst storm since 1959 is striking Japan right now.
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Re: Heatwaves

Postby Laodicean » Wed Apr 04, 2012 9:24 am

Dallas tornado footage from April 3:



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Re: Heatwaves

Postby brainpanhandler » Tue Jun 12, 2012 10:47 am

repost of a repost:

Saurian Tail wrote:Reposted from Fruh's "Rectal Thermometers" (!!!) thread ...

viewtopic.php?f=8&t=34904

Spring 2012: most extreme season in U.S. history

Posted by: JeffMasters, 2:08 PM GMT on June 08, 2012

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... rynum=2115

Spring 2012 in the contiguous U.S. demolished the old records for hottest spring and most extreme season of any kind, said NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) on Thursday. With the warmest March, third warmest April, and second warmest May, the March - April - May spring season was 5.2°F above average--the largest temperature departure from average of any season on record for the contiguous United States. What's truly remarkable is the margin the old record was broken by--spring 2012 temperatures were a full 1°F above the previous most extreme season, the winter of 1999 - 2000. All-time seasonal temperature records are very difficult to break, and are usually broken by only a tenth of a degree. To see the old record crushed by a full degree is a stunning and unparalleled event in U.S. meteorological history.

Image

Figure 1. Temperature rankings for spring 2012 in the Contiguous U.S. Thirty-one states were record warm for the 3-month period, and an additional eleven states had top-ten warmth. Spring 2012 beat the previous record for hottest spring on record, set in 1910, by an remarkable 2°F. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.

U.S. heat over the past 12 months: a one in half-a-million event

The U.S. record for hottest 12-month period fell for the second straight month in May. The June 2011 - May 2012 temperatures smashed the previous record by a startling 0.4°F, which is a huge margin to break a record by for a 1-year period. The past twelve months have featured America's 2nd warmest summer, 4th warmest winter, and warmest spring on record. Thirty-two states were record warm for the 12-month period, and an additional ten states were top ten warm. Each of the 12 months from June 2011 through May 2012 ranked among the warmest third of their historical distribution for the first time in the 1895-present record. According to NCDC, the odds of this occurring randomly during any particular month are 1 in 531,441. Thus, we should only see one more 12-month period so warm between now and 46,298 AD--assuming the climate is staying the same as during the past 118 years. The unusual warmth was due, in part, to a La Niña event in the Pacific that altered jet stream patterns, keeping the polar jet stream much farther to the north than usual. However, it is highly unlikely that the extremity of the heat during the past 12 months could have occurred without a warming climate. Some critics have claimed that recent record warm temperatures measured in the U.S. are due to poor siting of a number of measurement stations. Even if true (and the best science we have says that these stations were actually reporting temperatures that were too cool), there is no way that measurement errors can account for the huge margin by which U.S. temperature records have been crushed during the past 12-month, 5-month, and 3-month periods.

Image

Figure 2. Three of the top ten warmest 12-month periods in the contiguous U.S. since 1895 have occurred since April 2011. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.

continued at link ...

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Re: Heatwaves

Postby Burnt Hill » Tue Jun 12, 2012 12:04 pm

Definitely trending warmer here in upstate NY. Saw a grey fox the other day, they are unheard here between the lakes- where we have a unique micro-climate-though we are in their range.
May was a month of extremes. Two hard freezes and a 10 inch snowfall. Wrapped around many warm days of 80s. Killed all the fruit on my peach trees. Killed my sweet corn,which I prolly planted too early anyway, but my peas and onions are doing great!
Yesterday hit 91. Today we'll be lucky to hit 70.
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Re: Heatwaves

Postby Iamwhomiam » Mon Jul 09, 2012 8:54 pm

Yes! Our heatwave has broken and the cool early evening air is quite refreshing. Our highs only reached into the low 90s, though, but ozone levels in the city were quite high and some humid days made breathing difficult for some, especially so for asthmatics and the elderly.

Let's not forget the 11" of rain that fell over 24 hours in southern Russia or the 110 people who died from flooding.

Climate changes will only become more severe, I'm afraid. Texas, I read, expects drought conditions to last another 8 years. I hope they're wrong.
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Re: Heatwaves

Postby 82_28 » Mon Jul 09, 2012 9:14 pm

I was just futzing around with some CO news sites and up pops this as soon as I get done reading the last page of this thread. . .

Palisade peaches ripen early because of Colorado's heat wave

PALISADE — In a season of tragic fire and drought news, Becky Davis wants Coloradans to know there is something good happening in their state - early peaches.

Davis, of Davis Family Farms and Nana's Fruit & Jam Shack in Palisade, said peaches are ripening three weeks early this year — and there are a lot of them. There just aren't enough peach fans who know that good varieties of peaches are already coming off the Palisade-area trees.

"We're rockin' and rolling out here. We just don't have the audience," Davis said.

Peach picking began in the middle of June compared to a July 7 start last summer. Early varieties like Rising Star, Garnet Beauty and Early Red Haven have been turning up at farm stands for three weeks. This week, the first pickings are beginning for the most popular peach varieties like the Red Haven, the Topaz and the Regina.

Charlie Talbott of Talbott Farms in Palisade, said most fruits are running 12 to 20 days ahead of schedule this year. He guesses the heart of peach season, when peaches are most abundant, will stretch from the last week in July through mid-September.

Growers like the Talbotts have been planting some later varieties of peaches in recent years to stretch the season a little more. Talbott said a big question this year is whether those varieties also will be early or if they will mature as in normal years when there isn't so much early heat.

"That's the $64,000 question," Talbott said.


http://www.denverpost.com/breakingnews/ ... -heat-wave

Peaches in CO should not be ready to be picked yet!

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Re: Heatwaves

Postby Nordic » Tue Jul 10, 2012 4:23 am

OT, but best peach I ever had in my life was bought by the side of the road in Colorado, somewhere near Pagosa Springs.

I've been missing Colorado a lot lately. Maybe because it's been burning down.
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