DrEvil » Sun Jan 19, 2014 9:08 am wrote: Ben D » Sun Jan 19, 2014 12:34 am wrote:
No,,the idea of missing heat hiding in the deep ocean in unknown locations proposed by Trenberth is just that..a speculation, and to some, a fanciful one at that...no proof...other climate scientists are speculating that the cessation of warming is the result of a change in Sun activity, others again on the result of volcanic activity...no one really knows at this time. Surprise, surprise, the science is not settled! But what we can all agree on is that global warming has stalled for now, albeit at the high levels of the late 1990's.
No, global warming has slowed down
for now, from 0.21C per decade to 0.04C per decade, hopefully.
Or it could just be that we don't know where that extra heat went yet (Australia?), even though there's plenty of research pointing towards an explanation. Lacking measurements at the poles, warming of the deep ocean, and yes, the cycles of the sun (Quick question: What do you think will happen when the sun stops cooling us and starts adding to the heat again?), El Nino, etc.
0.04C is not statistically significant given the error margins of measurement, that is why the journal Nature article refers the the last 17 years as a hiatus...a pause in global warming!
You are correct, the journal Nature article shows that AGW science doesn't understand the whys and wherefores of the 17 year temperature hiatus......AGW science global computer models never really expected it.
I have always been consistent in saying that I think that the Earth's climate is too complex for the present human scientific understanding to accurately predict even a decade ahead, not alone a century ahead as the IPCC has done, global temperatures. So I would take anyone's prediction at this stage as just that, their best guess based on their present flawed understanding...the science is not settled.
There is That which was not born, nor created, nor evolved. If it were not so, there would never be any refuge from being born, or created, or evolving. That is the end of suffering. That is God**.
** or Nirvana, Allah, Brahman, Tao, etc...