I've been looking at this today because it is such a huge story. I hope you don't mind if I share. Sheesh.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/w ... 113708.ecePresident Barack Obama will today visit the Gulf of Mexico coastline threatened by the giant oil spill, as experts warn that the spill from a ruptured oil rig might be growing five times faster than previously estimated.
The oil is gushing from BP's sunken Deepwater Horizon rig at 25,000 barrels a day and could reach 50,000 barrels a day, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Earlier estimates had put the leak at 5,000 barrels a day.
Gulf oil spill: The Halliburton connection
Margot Roosevelt and Jill Leovy
http://uruknet.com/?p=m65588&hd=&size=1&l=eAccording to experts cited in Friday's Wall St. Journal, the timing of last week's cement job in relation to the explosion -- only 20 hours beforehand, and the history of cement problems in other blowouts "point to it as a possible culprit." Robert MacKenzie, managing director of energy and natural resources at FBR Capital Markets and a former cementing engineer, told the Journal, "The initial likely cause of gas coming to the surface had something to do with the cement."
Radio interview with a survivor who was there
http://www.drillingahead.com/This guy insists that this is not terrorism. Ironically, this disaster could be a boon for oil producers. I read somewhere that BP is insured by some fund up to a $1B; although they could be fined $3B. If this causes the offshore from being developed, oil prices would then have an excuse to rise. This is described as a "once in a lifetime disaster", and that the chances of this happening are extremely slim. FWIW, this guy says that those who perished, did so right away. "They must have been directly inside the bomb when it went off...(pause)... the bomb being the natural gas." He makes it clear that he did not mean an actual bomb, and makes it clear that he does not think it was a terrorist's bomb.
But, there does not have to be a bomb, per se. He also mentions that the drillers mud is used to control the flow of natural gas surging up from the depths, and that it is like a balancing act, the pressure of the gas held down in the pipe by the weight of the mud. If this was sabotage, it would have been easy enough to pull off; easier than it would be to make a mistake!?
Paraphrasing (writing as fast as I could):
The Blow Out Preventer (BOP) stack was tested. He doesn't know the results of that test, but it must have passed. They displaced all the mud out of the riser, opened BOP stack, test was sufficient or they wouldn't have opened the stack. When they opened the well they received a kick, Gas got into it and blew the top off. Gas got into the balance between the to maintain pressure on the well bore itself(?) Gas pushing one way and the mud pushing the other. The ideal situation is to control the kick. The sheer volume of gas just kicks up. gas blew sea water out of riser, and then leak out of the wellhead, and then ignited. setting off a series of explosions.
Transocean Deepwater Horizon Explosion-A Discussion of What Actually Happened?
http://www.drillingahead.com/forum/topi ... -horizon-1commments
Reply by Terry Eastwood on April 30, 2010 at 4:19pm
as I understand it they had finished cementing casing. They were trying to set some sort of hydraulic packer but it wasnt setting. They had as many as 10 attempts. There had either been some gas migration through the cement or a 'micro annulus' and once the gas reached the riser the sequence of events would then have happened very quickly.
Reply by Roger Pellow on April 30, 2010 at 4:21pm
There would have been enough warning signs that the well was starting to kick (there always are when you read reports from other incidents!). At 18,000 ft the oil, gas, whatever would have taken a bit of time to reach the BOP. Perhaps the logger should have been monitoring the trip a bit better?. I guess they were running a liner as it appears from other reports that there was DP to surface? You should have been able to shear the liner with full boost (7"? 5"?) or the pipe depending what was across the BOP at the time.
Reply by Keith Ray 1 day ago
The BOP FAILED. It wasn't these fellows first day on the job. They knew they had a kick. I was Deweys AD and he was sharp as well as Jason. They done all they could do. Yeah there were warning signs but what can you do if your BOP fails. God Bless their souls they knew what the hell they were doing.
Reply by Curtis 1 day ago
Thanks Keith,
can you share any info on what part of the BOPs failed or what caused the failure? Also could you tell us exactly what they were doing at the time, had the well been cemented,etc..
We are all working together to try and understand what happened. It all part of the mourning process I guess. We try to understand so we can make some sort of sense out of the loss of our brothers
Reply by Karl Eiriksson 1 day ago
Kieth,
I appreciate your comments,are you one of the survivors? or on days off? I haven't worked a deep water rig like you have. I'm new to the deep water risers, you have a choke line,killine, and assorted lines to Annular, TPR, BPR and Blind Rams...How do you test the BOP when it's 5,000' below sea level?.....run a test plug on 5" DP and land it in the section A or B...........sorry for being so illiterate, I don't know these deep water operations.
Reply by Brian holland 1 day ago
Dear Keith,
My sympathies are with the men from the rig and I respect your indignation at any suggestion that the events where caused by your compatriots. But it simply is not true. To suggest that every component down to the abosolutely shut down fail safe, 'Dead man' function failed, beggars belief.
I see a ROV pic where there is flow from a DP protruding. That could be indication that Blind shears have not activated but all the rams may have closed. If they were cementing there would not be an NRV in the string so flow up string would exist.
Please accept my condolences and let the challenges fly. It is the manner in which we may get to the bottom of the failure. Challenges to the right or wrongs of fellow crew men is not disrespectful. I believe that if they were still with us and realised that they missed something they would tell us to prevent a recurrence.
Once again my sincere sympathy,
Brian Holland
Reply by Deric Fontenot 1 day ago
Great story. But realisticly, a number of people should have seen something was not right with thr trip tank or gas monitors, or conection flow monitors. A gas bubble doesn't rise 18,000' without leaving a number of calling cards. BOP's are tested every 10 - 14 days and yes they could have failed, but a gas kick leaves a bunch of warning signs and deepwater rigs especially are to watch for any sign . . . even the slightest of gas invasion. MY prayers are with the families who lost love ones. The oilfield is not a job for just anyone . . .it takes a special breed of person to put his or life on the line to provide for their families and supply the worlds energy needs. We will morn, we will pray, we will learn and We Will Drill Again!
In my opinion a North Korean torpedo, or an attack by environmentalists is out of the question. FWIW.