Moderators: Elvis, DrVolin, Jeff
Jeff wrote:My prediction is a result similar to the last: New Democracy wins, but with a narrower margin over Syriza.
Sepka wrote:Jeff wrote:My prediction is a result similar to the last: New Democracy wins, but with a narrower margin over Syriza.
Twenty minutes now. I think New Democracy will win by a somewhat larger margin than last time. Tsipras is personally popular, and seems to be campaigning more on that than on his party's positions. Because the rules in a Greek runoff require the voter to mark for the party rather than for the candidate (why, I do not know) I'm expecting a great many spoiled ballots with Tsipiras' name checked when the party name should have been checked instead.
JackRiddler wrote:Now kindly die.
JackRiddler wrote:The country has very high voter participation and everyone understands how this works.
Sepka wrote:JackRiddler wrote:The country has very high voter participation and everyone understands how this works.
In a few more hours, we'll find out. I'm betting on rather many accidentally spoiled ballots from voters who support Tspiras personally, but don't really understand how a runoff works. We'll see.
DrVolin wrote:JackRiddler wrote:Now kindly die.
That was a bit strong.
Greek state TV estimates that on those exit numbers New Democracy and Pasok could form a coalition. The 300 seats would be distributed thus:
New Democracy 127 (including the bonus 50 for winning), Syriza 72, Pasok 32, Independent Greeks 21, Golden Dawn 19, Democratic Left 16, Communist Party of Greece 13.
Jeff wrote:Telegraph reports first exit poll indicates ND winning between 27.5% to 30.5%, Syriza 27% to 30%. Don't know how this is being tabulated, but a final exit poll is still expected, including a final fifth of voters, before the final results.
Greek TV network NET is calling for about 159 combined seats between New Democracy and PASOK.
Official results (16% of stations): ND 31.1%, Syriza 25.3%, PASOK 13.6%, IndGreeks 7.2%, GoldenDawn 6.8%, DemLeft 5.9%, KKE 4.3%
Merkel can leave for Mexico now.
The markets will like it
Breaking News
Official projection of result: New Democracy - 29.5%, Syriza - 27.1%. That is from the Greek interior ministry, based on 18% of votes counted.
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