Global Agenda Council on Emerging Technologies

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Global Agenda Council on Emerging Technologies

Postby tazmic » Thu Feb 16, 2012 1:10 pm

The World Economic Forum's Global Agenda Council on Emerging Technologies has compiled a list of the top 10 emerging technologies it believes will have the greatest impact on the state of the world in 2012.

1. Informatics for adding value to information

The quantity of information now available to individuals and organizations is unprecedented in human history, and the rate of information generation continues to grow exponentially. Yet, the sheer volume of information is in danger of creating more noise than value, and as a result limiting its effective use. Innovations in how information is organized, mined and processed hold the key to filtering out the noise and using the growing wealth of global information to address emerging challenges.

2. Synthetic biology and metabolic engineering

The natural world is a testament to the vast potential inherent in the genetic code at the core of all living organisms. Rapid advances in synthetic biology and metabolic engineering are allowing biologists and engineers to tap into this potential in unprecedented ways, enabling the development of new biological processes and organisms that are designed to serve specific purposes - whether converting biomass to chemicals, fuels and materials, producing new therapeutic drugs or protecting the body against harm.

3. Green Revolution 2.0 - technologies for increased food and biomass

Artificial fertilizers are one of the main achievements of modern chemistry, enabling unprecedented increases in crop production yield. Yet, the growing global demand for healthy and nutritious food is threatening to outstrip energy, water and land resources. By integrating advances across the biological and physical sciences, the new green revolution holds the promise of further increasing crop production yields, minimizing environmental impact, reducing energy and water dependence, and decreasing the carbon footprint.

4. Nanoscale design of materials

The increasing demand on natural resources requires unprecedented gains in efficiency. Nanostructured materials with tailored properties, designed and engineered at the molecular scale, are already showing novel and unique features that will usher in the next clean energy revolution, reduce our dependence on depleting natural resources, and increase atom-efficiency manufacturing and processing.

5. Systems biology and computational modelling/simulation of chemical and biological systems

For improved healthcare and bio-based manufacturing, it is essential to understand how biology and chemistry work together. Systems biology and computational modeling and simulation are playing increasingly important roles in designing therapeutics, materials and processes that are highly efficient in achieving their design goals, while minimally impacting on human health and the environment.

6. Utilization of carbon dioxide as a resource

Carbon is at the heart of all life on earth. Yet, managing carbon dioxide releases is one of the greatest social, political and economic challenges of our time. An emerging innovative approach to carbon dioxide management involves transforming it from a liability to a resource. Novel catalysts, based on nanostructured materials, can potentially transform carbon dioxide to high value hydrocarbons and other carbon-containing molecules, which could be used as new building blocks for the chemical industry as cleaner and more sustainable alternatives to petrochemicals.

7. Wireless power

Society is deeply reliant on electrically powered devices. Yet, a significant limitation in their continued development and utility is the need to be attached to the electricity grid by wire - either permanently or through frequent battery recharging. Emerging approaches to wireless power transmission will free electrical devices from having to be physically plugged in, and are poised to have as significant an impact on personal electronics as Wi-Fi had on Internet use.

8. High energy density power systems

Better batteries are essential if the next generation of clean energy technologies are to be realized. A number of emerging technologies are coming together to lay the foundation for advanced electrical energy storage and use, including the development of nanostructured electrodes, solid electrolysis and rapid-power delivery from novel supercapacitors based on carbon-based nanomaterials. These technologies will provide the energy density and power needed to supercharge the next generation of clean energy technologies.

9. Personalized medicine, nutrition and disease prevention

As the global population exceeds 7 billion people - all hoping for a long and healthy life - conventional approaches to ensuring good health are becoming less and less tenable, spurred on by growing demands, dwindling resources and increasing costs. Advances in areas such as genomics, proteomics and metabolomics are now opening up the possibility of tailoring medicine, nutrition and disease prevention to the individual. Together with emerging technologies like synthetic biology and nanotechnology, they are laying the foundation for a revolution in healthcare and well-being that will be less resource intensive and more targeted to individual needs.

10. Enhanced education technology

New approaches are needed to meet the challenge of educating a growing young population and providing the skills that are essential to the knowledge economy. This is especially the case in today's rapidly evolving and hyperconnected globalized society. Personalized IT-based approaches to education are emerging that allow learner-centerd education, critical thinking development and creativity. Rapid developments in social media, open courseware and ubiquitous access to the Internet are facilitating outside classroom and continuous education.

gizmag.com
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Re: Global Agenda Council on Emerging Technologies

Postby cptmarginal » Fri Feb 17, 2012 1:26 pm

Thanks for this, good food for thought. I think the order of short-term relevance is off though. Maybe put "High energy density power systems" towards the top. Surely the World Economic Forum's Global Agenda Council knows much better than I do, though.

Green Revolution 2.0 - technologies for increased food and biomass

Artificial fertilizers are one of the main achievements of modern chemistry, enabling unprecedented increases in crop production yield. Yet, the growing global demand for healthy and nutritious food is threatening to outstrip energy, water and land resources


Ha!
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Re: Global Agenda Council on Emerging Technologies

Postby cptmarginal » Fri Feb 17, 2012 1:34 pm

Synthetic biology and metabolic engineering

The natural world is a testament to the vast potential inherent in the genetic code at the core of all living organisms. Rapid advances in synthetic biology and metabolic engineering are allowing biologists and engineers to tap into this potential in unprecedented ways, enabling the development of new biological processes and organisms that are designed to serve specific purposes - whether converting biomass to chemicals, fuels and materials, producing new therapeutic drugs or protecting the body against harm.


Student Researching Bacteria That Create Ethanol Stabbed 47 Times

Also, more generally: list of dead scientists.
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Re: Global Agenda Council on Emerging Technologies

Postby Wombaticus Rex » Fri Feb 17, 2012 2:29 pm

No Universal Translation? I think that Rosetta Stone will evolve from teaching software to active translation devices in the next 10. Opening up inter-cultural communication will have huge consequences.
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Re: Global Agenda Council on Emerging Technologies

Postby psynapz » Fri Feb 17, 2012 3:16 pm

^^^ Any recent super-smart-phone (e.g., iOS or Android) can record you saying something in your native language and translate it on the fly into synthesized speech in any other language.

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Wombaticus Rex wrote:Opening up inter-cultural communication will have huge consequences.

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Re: Global Agenda Council on Emerging Technologies

Postby Luther Blissett » Fri Feb 17, 2012 3:55 pm

Wombaticus Rex wrote:No Universal Translation? I think that Rosetta Stone will evolve from teaching software to active translation devices in the next 10. Opening up inter-cultural communication will have huge consequences.


This list is clearly not interested in democratic, human-scale educational solutions, only libertarian privilege and "green-capitalism." Even the "enhanced education technology" mentioned is still Prussian school, saying nothing about outcomes. But yes, what psynapz said.

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Re: Global Agenda Council on Emerging Technologies

Postby cptmarginal » Fri Mar 02, 2012 1:24 pm

I think the order of short-term relevance is off though. Maybe put "High energy density power systems" towards the top.


DOE/ARPA-E and GM Sponsored Envia Systems More Than Doubles Energy Density for Lithium-Ion Batteries While Reducing the Cost by Half

“In an industry where energy density tends to increase five percent a year, our achievement of more than doubling state-of-art energy density and lowering cost by half is a giant step towards realizing Envia’s mission of mass market affordability of a 300-mile electric vehicle,” said Envia Systems Chairman and CEO Atul Kapadia.


Obama Fired GM’s CEO; What’s Stirring Behind the Black Curtain?
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Re: Global Agenda Council on Emerging Technologies

Postby cptmarginal » Sun Mar 25, 2012 2:16 pm

^^^ Any recent super-smart-phone (e.g., iOS or Android) can record you saying something in your native language and translate it on the fly into synthesized speech in any other language.


Can anyone here speak to the efficacy of these translation apps? It'd be damn impressive if they translate from spoken Japanese to English (for example) any better than current machine-translation software on the web. Microsoft and Google's services are both not good enough to satisfactorily translate even text. I suppose it would be useful to communicate with a person right in front of you whose language you don't understand, so that's pretty cool.

Here's something new:

http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/39885/?p1=A4

Software Translates Your Voice into Another Language

Research software from Microsoft synthesizes speech in a foreign language, but in a voice that sounds like yours.

Researchers at Microsoft have made software that can learn the sound of your voice, and then use it to speak a language that you don't. The system could be used to make language tutoring software more personal, or to make tools for travelers.

In a demonstration at Microsoft's Redmond, Washington, campus on Tuesday, Microsoft research scientist Frank Soong showed how his software could read out text in Spanish using the voice of his boss, Rick Rashid, who leads Microsoft's research efforts. In a second demonstration, Soong used his software to grant Craig Mundie, Microsoft's chief research and strategy officer, the ability to speak Mandarin.

...

In English, a synthetic version of Mundie's voice welcomed the audience to an open day held by Microsoft Research, concluding, "With the help of this system, now I can speak Mandarin." The phrase was repeated in Mandarin Chinese, in what was still recognizably Mundie's voice.

"We will be able to do quite a few scenario applications," said Soong, who created the system with colleagues at Microsoft Research Asia, the company's second-largest research lab, in Beijing, China.
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"For a monolingual speaker traveling in a foreign country, we'll do speech recognition followed by translation, followed by the final text to speech output [in] a different language, but still in his own voice," said Soong.

The new technique could also be used to help students learn a language, said Soong. Providing sample foreign phrases in a person's own voice could be encouraging, or easier to imitate. Soong also showed how his new system could improve a navigational directions phone app, allowing a stock synthetic English voice to seamlessly read out text written on Chinese road signs as it relayed instructions for a route in Beijing.

The system needs around an hour of training to develop a model able to read out any text in a person's own voice. That model is converted into one able to read out text in another language by comparing it with a stock text-to-speech model for the target language. Individual sounds used by the first model to build up words using a person's voice in his or her own language are carefully tweaked to give the new text-to-speech model a full ability to sound out phrases in the second language.

Soong says that this approach can convert between any pair of 26 languages, including Mandarin Chinese, Spanish, and Italian.

Preserving a person's voice when synthesizing speech for them in another language would likely be reassuring to a user, and could make interactions reliant on translation software more meaningful, says Shrikanth Narayanan, a professor at the University of Southern California, in Los Angeles, leads a research group working on systems to translate speech in situations such as doctor-patient consultations.

"The word is just one part of what a person is saying," he says, and to truly convey all the information in a person's speech, translation systems will need to be able to preserve voices and much more. "Preserving voice, preserving intonation, those things matter, and this project clearly knows that," says Narayanan. "Our systems need to capture the expression a person is trying to convey, who they are, and how they're saying it."

His research group is investigating how features such as emphasis, intonation, and the way people use pauses or hesitation affects the effectiveness and perceived quality of a word-for-word translation. "We're asking if you can build systems that can mediate between people as well as just replacing the words," he says. "I view this [Microsoft research] as a part of how you make this happen."
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