Re: Libya, Syria And Now Ukraine - Color Revolution By Force
Posted: Fri Mar 25, 2016 8:11 pm
People are scrambling to get out of Ukraine
Ukraine is Turning into Liberia: “The love of liberty brought us here”
by Andrey Fomine / March 25th, 2016
Earlier this month while delivering a public lecture in Kiev, “The Challenges of an Ever-Changing World,” former US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice made an inspiring remark for anyone who might have been thinking that life in Ukraine was bad:
You should go to Liberia where the standard of living is much lower, and then you will be thankful.
Ironically, Forbes Ukraine reacted to this with a slightly perplexed analysis that nonetheless led to a conclusion of flawless logic: “Although Liberia has one of the weakest economies in the world, it lags only slightly behind Ukraine with respect to a number of macroeconomic parameters,” and the magazine supported its argument with some anemic statistics (failing, however, to mention that Liberia’s 85% unemployment rate is far worse than Ukraine’s, even today).
The rapid deterioration of the Ukrainian economy over the past two post-Maidan years is no longer a taboo topic in the international press (the prominent US academic and former diplomat Nicolai Petro’s recent article in the Guardian made that crystal clear). But to make a long story short, the full picture looks even more depressing:
People are scrambling to get out of Ukraine
A Kiev-based headhunting agency claims that according to their polls, 70% of the population does not see any future in Ukraine. Ten out of eleven (!!!) Ukrainians are ready to leave the country if offered a job abroad. Forty percent of Kiev’s white-collar workers do not see a secure future for themselves nowadays. Another opinion poll shows compared to the pre-Maidan period, public pessimism is on the rise. Only 19% of the respondents expected 2016 to bring positive changes for Ukraine (down from 42% in 2013).
These sentiments are quite understandable if we look at average incomes in Ukraine. According to official data from the finance ministry (as of March 2, 2016), the average salary in Ukraine is only 4,362 hryvnas per month (approximately 145 Euros). The minimum monthly wage is currently set at 1,378 hryvnas (46 Euros). Therefore, the vast majority of working people in Ukraine have to get by on a salary of 2,000-3,000 hryvnas (70-100 Euros) each month. And the number of employed is declining every day. In September 2015, Ukrainian Minister of Social Politics Valery Yaroshenko acknowledged that the unemployment rate had reached its highest point in the history of Ukraine as an independent country, with 23% of young Ukrainians unable to find work (in the parts of the Donetsk region that are controlled by Kiev the jobless rate does approach that of Liberia – 50%!).
Low wages and high unemployment are not the only challenges an ordinary Ukrainian has to cope with. To meet the requirements of the IMF, the Ukrainian government must increase the rates it charges for housing and public utility services at least twice per year. As a result, in January 2016 the average bill per household jumped to 1,250 hryvnas – an 80% increase from 695 hryvnas a year ago. Thus, theoretically (and often factually) a family supported by only one working member and living in a modest apartment might need to survive on the beggarly 128 hryvnas – barely more than 4 Euros (!) – that is left each month after housing and utility costs have been paid! Indeed, taking into account some difference in its latitude (and climate) today’s Ukraine might rightly be called a Northern Liberia!
Meanwhile the index of commodities prices in Ukraine rose 40.3% in 2015. And since this crisis coincided with a 15% cut in the pensions of retirees who work a side job (this “cost-saving measure” was announced by PM Yatsenyuk in January 2015), clearly the majority of elderly Ukrainians are now facing a disaster. So far they have managed to survive thanks to their personal savings, but that resource is drying up: according to the National Bank, in 2015 Ukrainians sold 2,233 billion USD and bought only 0.684 billion USD. Local experts estimate that Ukrainian citizens will exhaust their personal savings by the end of 2016.
So it’s no wonder that Ukrainians are leaving their country en masse for Europe, mostly headed to Poland (around 400,000 crossed that border last year), in a desperate attempt to find any paid job. There they are cheated, abused, and cynically exploited, but they prefer to stomach such treatment rather than trying to eke out a miserable existence at home:
Ukraine’s rapid deindustrialization is picking up speed
The abrupt severing of the traditional ties between Russian and Ukrainian businesses, due to suicidal Kiev-imposed regulations, resulted in a 10.7% decline in GDP in 2014 and another 13.4% drop in 2015. Foreign trade, both imports and exports, decreased by one-third. The naive expectations of the incumbent government in Kiev – that Ukrainian products could obtain access to European markets – have been torn to shreds (Nicolai Petro offers one anecdotal fact: Kiev’s biggest European export, under the agricultural quotas established by the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement, is honey).
This situation of social and economic degeneration, along with the ready availability of weapons smuggled out of what is known as the “ATO Zone,” has led to an unprecedented tsunami of criminal activity in Ukraine. In the two years since Maidan, the number of recorded criminal offenses has doubled there. In reality, marauding crowds, armed robberies, and street killings are becoming an everyday event and many incidents go unreported. According to the latest findings from the Hague Institute of Innovating Justice, 44% of Ukrainians do not trust their national judicial system or law-enforcement agencies. A number of nationalist gangs (volunteer battalions) seem to operate out of reach of the law and ignore any attempts by the public authorities to rein them in. The most recent scandals (amber-smuggling in the Rovno region, the blockade of Crimea, and the barriers set up to bar Russian transit trucks) are just the tip of the iceberg of the criminal activities of radical groups in Ukraine that have received media attention. Most criminal incidents do not make the headlines. For example there are around 100 cases currently languishing within the legal system against members of the Aidar battalion who have committed criminal offenses, including charges of serious war crimes in the Donbass, all of which are gathering dust in Ukrainian courts.
Dutch football fans who used to visit Euro-2012 in Ukraine and now thoughtlessly sharing #TakIsJa hashtag, should understand that the country they saw 4 years ago does not exist anymore.
There is effectively no state in Ukraine
The authorities are busy ingratiating themselves with every available power figure — the US Embassy, local oligarchs, Right Sector, and various Mafia groups — seeing in those the only keys to the government’s own legitimacy and ability to hold on to power. But one point that they apparently do not understand is that any government lacking public support on the ground and dependent on exterior agents is more vulnerable than they could ever imagine. Did the Liberian dictator Samuel Doe, who took power as a result of a US-backed coup d’etat in 1980, ever dream that in ten years he would be forced to eat his own ear and then be publicly executed by a rival tribe? The leaders of “Northern Liberia” may have their own political tracks, but not the final destiny…
• “The love of liberty brought us here” is the national motto of Liberia.
Condoleezza rice gave a lecture in Kiev, rejoice that you are not Liberia
In Kiev came to the 66th U.S. Secretary of state and the most powerful woman in the world according to «Forbes» for 2004-2005 Condoleezza rice, who arrived at the invitation of billionaire Victor Pinchuk. It is reported Strenia.
As is known, settled ex-Secretary of state in a five star hotel Intercontinental. In the event the charitable Foundation that was held at the Diplomatic Academy, rice with a delegation of 15 people came on foot. And at the end it was expecting a tuple Pinchuk.
Businessman seated guest in his armored BMW 7-series c today, the highest protection level B6/B7, which corresponds to EU standards. By the way, on the same car for 9.5 million USD goes another Ukrainian oligarch Igor Kolomoisky.
Note that the lecture of Condalisa rice were seen by the Minister of agrarian policy Alex Pavlenko and the head of national Bank Valeria Gontareva. After the speech of American women they kissed goodbye.
Condoleezza rice delivered a public lecture on the theme «the Challenges of a changing world». In a speech former US Secretary of state talked about the development of Ukraine, in particular on the reforms.
ЛІГА.net selected key points from the speech of former Secretary of state of the United States.
Mutual responsibility of politicians and people
Your leaders daily needs to gain the trust of those they lead — it’s the nature of democracy. John F. Kennedy once said, «don’t ask the state, what your country can do for you. Ask what you can do for your country». Yes, your power may disappoint you, and you will think that they can’t do anything. It is important to remember that politicians should work, but you can help build democracy in Ukraine.
On civil society
Civil society is primarily the responsibility of the strong to the weak. The willingness to help. Only then is born a democracy. Because democracy is so strong in the state, how strong the most unprotected member of society.
The compromises in politics
You cannot compromise your principles. It is impossible to negotiate and to compromise with those who is hostile to democracy in your country. But policy is often called the fundamental things that are actually merely a subject of political dialogue. For example, the question of taxation is not one of those who should be considered the principal.
About leadership
A leader is not a profession, and the ability to organize processes and to take responsibility for its participants. A true leader must set ourselves the goal of finding and nurturing new leaders — must find and develop the strengths in those for whom he became a leader.
About the future of global politics
I believe in the United Nations, however, there are very many States and too complex a decision-making mechanism. The future of effective regional groups and unions of States. The only caveat that they have to be consolidated on a voluntary basis.
About the future of the European Union
Recent financial crises have considerably weakened the EU, identified the problem areas — its members are too heterogeneous in their capacity. But despite all the problems, predict that the EU will avoid collapse, although the new United States of Europe it will not be never. I hope that the EU will remain the UK, since then the EU will be over the Atlantic, and, hence, more effective. The EU, despite internal contradictions, it is critical to retain a unified position on Russia
About the U.S. role in world politics
President George W. Bush did a great job for the sake of freedom and democracy in different countries around the world. I believe that the United States should continue to determine the political agenda in the world. And not because we are the best — it’s not, just look at our electoral debates, and due to the fact that the States are better at it objectively. Because as soon as the change of power in the White House under public pressure, the U.S. weakened its position in the middle East, weakened the military presence in Afganistane, the world quickly got Russia as an international aggressor, breaking the boundaries of independent States.
About the risks for the world if he wins Donald trump on the election of the President of the United States and his sympathy for Putin
The election campaign in the USA, as well as you do, often outrageous, but after coming to the Oval office the presidents of the United States forget about their sharp loud statements and promises in the elections. Because then the security services give a real picture of global risks, and there is no rhetoric. I assure you, whatever may be said trump, in case of its victory, the U.S. will maintain tense relations with Russia. Russia should remember that they do not have license to intimidate neighboring States, the revision of borders at its own discretion and the seizure of territory, as happened in Crimea.
In Crimea we received another long-term frozen conflict. Like Abkhazia, South Ossetia or Transnistria. Maybe someday we will solve them, you need to stay positive. Let me remind you, if the U.S. Secretary of state in the late 1940s, said that after 50 years the collapse of the Soviet Union, they would have been considered crazy. In politics impossible.
Sanctions
Due to economic sanctions and falling oil prices, the world community can effectively influence on Russia. I assure you that the U.S. sanctions with the Russians not taking off, as for the EU, I hope it too.
About the level of life in Ukraine
Anyone who believes that in Ukraine life is bad, you should go to Liberia where the level of living is much lower, and since everyone will be glad that he is Ukrainian.
On The Constitution
Real democracy is hard to create. It does not appear suddenly, but is built through a long and painstaking work. Institutional changes should be carried out in the framework of the Constitution. Frequent changes of the Constitution do not benefit development. The Constitution should be changed only when it becomes obvious bias towards one of the branches of government.
About the granting of arms of Ukraine
From the first days of the conflict in Ukraine I thought that you should assist with lethal weapons, however, our government has decided otherwise. In any case, we will strengthen the military power of NATO, which is an effective counterweight to Russian aggression. You should force to work the government in Ukraine for 25 years was three revolutions. Maybe it’s time to learn how to run the country?
