Polling analysis: Dem lead false, because Dems don't vote

[Rigorous Intuition]

I think this is an interesting spin to see <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>The Washington Times</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> float now Bush is polling in the mid-30s, and the differential needs more than mere tweaking.<br><br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>Polling analysis finds GOP in the lead</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br><br>Most polls say a majority of registered voters would vote Democrat if the congressional elections were held today, but a new independent polling analysis now finds that Republicans could lead among people who actually vote.<br><br>The CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll reported last week that the Democrats led Republicans among registered voters in the generic congressional survey by 50 percent to 43 percent, a seven-point margin that could give Democrats enough victories to take control of the House, if their supporters participate in November's elections.<br><br>But a deeper analysis of these numbers by David W. Moore for the Gallup Poll said, "It is likely many voters will not do so" because turnout among registered voters tends to be lower than that among "likely voters" who say they plan to vote and usually do.<br><br>In his analysis, Mr. Moore writes that Gallup's "experience over the past two midterm elections, in 1998 and 2002, suggests that the [registered voters] numbers tend to <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>overstate the Democratic margin by about 10 percentage points</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END-->."<br><br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>"Given that Democrats currently lead by seven points, that could mean that among people who will definitely vote, Republicans actually lead by three to four points," he said.<br></strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br>Republican election strategists long have maintained the so-called generic numbers, in which voters are asked which party they will support in the elections, without mentioning a specific candidate, skew in favor of the Democrats.<br><br>Mr. Moore's admission about past generic polls of registered voters is rare, coming from a major polling organization, Republican campaign strategists said last week. <br><br><br><!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.washtimes.com/national/20060227-123359-5955r.htm">Washington Times</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--> <p></p><i></i>

[Hugh Manatee Wins]

Polling functions as a public form of surveillance to better carry out the high-tech stability operations called 'mainstream media' first mandated by Truman to the 1951 Psychological Strategy Board under the CIA.<br><br>Polling functions as both an examination of the body politic to enable successful manipulation of it and look-out for the advocates of criminal policies.<br><br>Read the websites of the Pew Center and Gallup because this is how the cryptocracy informs the House, Senate, and Council On Foreign Relations what they can get away with. <br>Like warrantless domestic surveillance.<br><br>Pew also tells the Powers That Be how much internet penetration there is and how it's used and thus who has a path around the lie matrix of Operation Mockingbird, state-controlled press.<br><br>I remember the Univ. of Maryland P.I.P.A. study in 2003 that showed that the more people watched TV, especially Fox, the more they believed White House lies about the invasion of Iraq.<br><br>Some saw this as helping identify a problem but it was really identifying the success of propaganda which is carefully tailored to the public's attitudes to do social engineering and enable crimes like war and spying.<br><br> <p></p><i></i>

[NewKid]

Yes, of course Byron, the Republican grown-ups are the only ones who actually take their civic responsibility seriously and will go out and vote. While the angry left can agitate all day long on the internet, their followers will be too busy smashing windows at Starbucks to bother to go to the polls. (And everybody knows the negroes alone can't pull the Dems through.) <br><br>Irresponsibility is just one of the side effects of Bush derangement syndrome. <br><br>Thank goodness Neil Cavuto's America will always prevail over Dan Rather's.<br> <p></p><i></i>

[Gouda]

We'll see what the relatively untraumatized registered independents, like my Pa, and surprise non-registered turnouts, decide. <br><br>Then we will see if this will be enough to overcome gerrymandered congressional districts, voter cynicism/apathy, massive voter disenfranchisement, computerized voter slot machines, corked whistleblowers, general national insanity, or new national security events. <br><br>I wonder if any ethnically- & economically- cleansed NOLA evictees will make it to the polls.<br><br><!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em><br>edit: annoying spelling mistake</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> <p></p><i>Edited by: <A HREF=http://p216.ezboard.com/brigorousintuition.showUserPublicProfile?gid=gouda@rigorousintuition>Gouda</A> at: 3/1/06 6:04 am<br></i>