March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis?

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March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis?

Postby StarmanSkye » Mon Mar 13, 2006 7:46 am

Repost<br><br>I thought this might be interesting enough, perhaps even valuable, to repost (forgot who posted it originally -- I wanted to comment onnit but have been trying to get a handle on what it really means first, I'm STILL not sure -- OR I'm reluctant to be freaked-out. This was originally posted about a week and-a-half or two ago, and instead of threat-indications receding they've actually increased, with the latest round of 48-hour hyped anti-Iran media-blitz (as posted by darkbeforedawn) perhaps foreshadowing a US or Israel military-strike. Good GodDAMN but our so-called 'leaders' seem criminally-insane enough to actually wage war on Iran, in which case ALL BETS ARE OFF & God Help Us All (meanwhile, lets make an effort to help each other; TIP: google '100 Items to Dissapear First in a Panic')<br><br>Anyway -- Quite a lot of people are taking this warning-prediction seriously -- tho other than making sure we have enough water and food stockpiled (and perhaps heat-fuel) in a secure-home we can be reasonably safe in, I don't know how much more we can do but try to weather what might be a severe synthetic human-made storm.<br><br>Check out the letters at the original url.<br>Amazing -- but not surprising -- MSM isn't covering any of this at all, just Brain-dead Sheeple infotainment Pap.<br>Starman<br>******<br><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK START--><a href="http://newropeans-magazine.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=3463&Itemid=85">newropeans-magazine.org/i...&Itemid=85</a><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK END--><br><br>March 20 to 26, 2006: Iran-USA, beginning of a major world crisis <br>Written by LEAP/E2020 <br>Saturday, 25 February 2006 <br> March 20 to 26, 2006: Iran-USA, beginning of a major world crisis, or «the End of the Western World we have known since 1945».<br><br>The Laboratoire européen d’Anticipation Politique Europe 2020, LEAP/E2020, now estimates to over 80% the probability that the week of March 20-26, 2006 will be the beginning of the most significant political crisis the world has known since the Fall of the Iron Curtain in 1989, together with an economic and financial crisis of a scope comparable with that of 1929. This last week of March 2006 will be the turning-point of a number of critical developments, resulting in an acceleration of all the factors leading to a major crisis, disregard any American or Israeli military intervention against Iran. In case such an intervention is conducted, the probability of a major crisis to start rises up to 100%, according to LEAP/E2020. <br><br><br>An Alarm based on 2 verifiable events<br>The announcement of this crisis results from the analysis of decisions taken by the two key-actors of the main on-going international crisis, i.e. the United States and Iran:<br><br>- on the one hand there is the Iranian decision of opening the first oil bourse priced in Euros on March 20th, 2006 in Teheran, available to all oil producers of the region ; <br><br>- on the other hand, there is the decision of the American Federal Reserve to stop publishing M3 figures (the most reliable indicator on the amount of dollars circulating in the world) from March 23, 2006 onward[1].<br><br><br>These two decisions constitute altogether the indicators, the causes and the consequences of the historical transition in progress between the order created after World War II and the new international equilibrium in gestation since the collapse of the USSR. Their magnitude as much as their simultaneity will catalyse all the tensions, weaknesses and imbalances accumulated since more than a decade throughout the international system.<br><br><br>A world crisis declined in 7 sector-based crises<br>LEAP/E2020's researchers and analysts thus identified 7 convergent crises that the American and Iranian decisions coming into effect during the last week of March 2006, will catalyse and turn into a total crisis, affecting the whole planet in the political, economic and financial fields, as well as in the military field most probably too:<br><br><br>1. Crisis of confidence in the Dollar<br>2. Crisis of US financial imbalances<br>3. Oil crisis<br>4. Crisis of the American leadership<br>5. Crisis of the Arabo-Muslim world<br>6. Global governance crisis<br>7. European governance crisis<br><br><br>The entire process of anticipation of this crisis is described in detail in coming issues of LEAP/E2020’s confidential letter – the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin, and in particular in the 2nd issue to be released on February 16, 2006. These coming issues will present the detailed analysis of each of the 7 crises, together with a large set of recommendations intended for various categories of players (governments and companies, namely), as well as with a number of operational and strategic advices for the European Union.<br><br><br>Decoding of the event “Creation of the Iranian Oil Bourse priced in Euros”<br>However, and in order not to limit this information to decision makers solely, LEAP/E2020 has decided to circulate widely this official statement together with the following series of arguments resulting from work conducted.<br>Iran's opening of an Oil Bourse priced in Euros at the end of March 2006 will be the end of the monopoly of the Dollar on the global oil market. The immediate result is likely to upset the international currency market as producing countries will be able to charge their production in Euros also. In parallel, European countries in particular will be able to buy oil directly in their own currency without going though the Dollar. Concretely speaking, in both cases this means that a lesser number of economic actors will need a lesser number of Dollars [2]. This double development will thus head to the same direction, i.e. a very significant reduction of the importance of the Dollar as the international reserve currency, and therefore a significant and sustainable weakening of the American currency, in particular compared to the Euro. The most conservative evaluations give €1 to $1,30 US Dollar by the end of 2006. But if the crisis reaches the scope anticipated by LEAP/E2020, estimates of €1 for $1,70 in 2007 are no longer unrealistic.<br><br><br>Decoding of the event “End of publication of the M3 macro-economic indicator”<br>The end of the publication by the American Federal Reserve of the M3 monetary aggregate (and that of other components)[3], a decision vehemently criticized by the community of economists and financial analysts, will have as a consequence to lose transparency on the evolution of the amount of Dollars in circulation worldwide. For some months already, M3 has significantly increased (indicating that « money printing » has already speeded up in Washington), knowing that the new President of the US Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, is a self-acknowledged fan of « money printing »[4]. Considering that a strong fall of the Dollar would probably result in a massive sale of the US Treasury Bonds held in Asia, in Europe and in the oil-producing countries, LEAP/E2020 estimates that the American decision to stop publishing M3 aims at hiding as long as possible two US decisions, partly imposed by the political and economic choices made these last years[5]:<br>. the ‘monetarisation’ of the US debt<br>. the launch of a monetary policy to support US economic activity.<br>… two policies to be implemented until at least the October 2006 « mid-term » elections, in order to prevent the Republican Party from being sent in reeling.<br><br>This M3-related decision also illustrates the incapacity of the US and international monetary and financial authorities put in a situation where they will in the end prefer to remove the indicator rather than try to act on the reality.<br><br><br>Decoding of the aggravating factor “The military intervention against Iran”<br>Iran holds some significant geo-strategic assets in the current crisis, such as its ability to intervene easily and with a major impact on the oil provisioning of Asia and Europe (by blocking the Strait of Ormuz), on the conflicts in progress in Iraq and Afghanistan, not to mention the possible recourse to international terrorism. But besides these aspects, the growing distrust towards Washington creates a particularly problematic situation. Far from calming both Asian and European fears concerning the accession of Iran to the statute of nuclear power, a military intervention against Iran would result in an quasi-immediate dissociation of the European public opinions[6] which, in a context where Washington has lost its credibility in handling properly this type of case since the invasion of Iraq, will prevent the European governments from making any thing else than follow their public opinions. In parallel, the rising cost of oil which would follow such an intervention will lead Asian countries, China first and foremost, to oppose this option, thus forcing the United States (or Israel) to intervene on their own, without UN guarantee, therefore adding a severe military and diplomatic crisis to the economic and financial crisis.<br><br><br><br>Relevant factors of the American economic crisis<br>LEAP/E2020 anticipate that these two non-official decisions will involve the United States and the world in a monetary, financial, and soon economic crisis without precedent on a planetary scale. The ‘monetarisation’ of the US debt is indeed a very technical term describing a catastrophically simple reality: the United States undertake not to refund their debt, or more exactly to refund it in "monkey currency". LEAP/E2020 also anticipate that the process will accelerate at the end of March, in coincidence with the launching of the Iranian Oil Bourse, which can only precipitate the sales of US Treasury Bonds by their non-American holders.<br><br><br>In this perspective, it is useful to contemplate the following information[7]: the share of the debt of the US government owned by US banks fell down to 1,7% in 2004, as opposed to 18% in 1982. In parallel, the share of this same debt owned by foreign operators went from 17% in 1982 up to 49% in 2004. <br>&#8594; Question: How comes that US banks got rid of almost all their share of the US national debt over the last years?<br><br><!--EZCODE IMAGE START--><img src="http://www.newropeans-magazine.org/images/stories/articles/annexe/annexegeab.jpg" style="border:0;"/><!--EZCODE IMAGE END--><br><br><br>Moreover, in order to try to avoid the explosion of the "real-estate bubble" on which rests the US household consumption, and at a time when the US saving rate has become negative for the first time since 1932 and 1933 (in the middle of the "Great Depression"), the Bush administration, in partnership with the new owner of the US Federal Reserve and a follower of this monetary approach, will flood the US market of liquidities.<br><br><br>Some anticipated effects of this systemic rupture<br>According to LEAP/E2020, the non-accidental conjunction of the Iranian and American decisions, is a decisive stage in the release of a systemic crisis marking the end of the international order set up after World War II, and will be characterised between the end of March and the end of the year 2006 by a plunge in the dollar (possibly down to 1 Euro = 1,70 US Dollars in 2007) putting an immense upward pressure on the Euro, a significant rise of the oil price (over 100$ per barrel), an aggravation of the American and British military situations in the Middle East, a US budgetary, financial and economic crisis comparable in scope with the 1929 crisis, very serious economic and financial consequences for Asia in particular (namely China) but also for the United Kingdom[8], a sudden stop in the economic process of globalisation, a collapse of the transatlantic axis leading to a general increase of all the domestic and external political dangers all over the world.<br><br><br>For individual dollar-holders, as for trans-national corporations or political and administrative decision makers, the consequences of this last week of March 2006 will be crucial. These consequences require some difficult decisions to be made as soon as possible (crisis anticipation is always a complex process since it relies on a bet) because once the crisis begins, the stampede starts and all those who chose to wait lose.<br>For private individuals, the choice is clear: the US Dollar no longer is a “refuge” currency. The rising-cost of gold over the last year shows that many people have already anticipated this trend of the US currency.<br><br><br>Anticipating… or being swept away by the winds of history<br>For companies and governments, it is crucial to integrate now action plans in today's decision-making processes, which can contribute to soften significantly the "monetary, financial and economic tsunami" which will break on the planet at the end of next month. To use a simple image – by the way, one used in the political anticipation scenario « USA 2010 »[9] -, the impact of the events of the last week of March 2006 on the “Western World” we have known since 1945 will be comparable to the impact of the Fall of the Iron Curtain in 1989 on the “Soviet Block”.<br><br><br>If this Alarm is so precise, it is that LEAP/E2020’s analyses concluded that all possible scenarios now lead to one single result: we collectively approach a "historical node" which is henceforth inevitable whatever the action of international or national actors. At this stage, only a direct and immediate action on the part of the US administration aimed at preventing a military confrontation with Iran on the one hand, and at giving up the idea to monetarise the US foreign debt on the other hand, could change the course of events. For LEAP/E2020 it is obvious that not only such actions will not be initiated by the current leaders in Washington, but that on the contrary they have already chosen "to force the destiny" by shirking their economic and financial problems at the expense of the rest of the world. European governments in particular should draw very quickly all the conclusions from this fact.<br><br><br>For information, LEAP/E2020's original method of political anticipation has allowed several of its experts to anticipate (and publish) in particular : in 1988, the approaching end of the Iron Curtain; in 1997, the progressive collapse in capacity of action and democratic legitimacy of the European institutional system; in 2002, the US being stuck in Iraq’s quagmire and above all the sustainable collapse of US international credibility; in 2003, the failure of the referenda on the European Constitution. Its methodology of anticipation of "systemic ruptures" now being well established, it is our duty as researchers and citizens to share it with the citizens and the European decision makers; especially because for individual or collective, private or public players, it is still time to undertake measures in order to reduce significantly the impact of this crisis on their positions whether these are economic, political or financial.<br><br><br><< Lire l'article en français<br><br>LEAP/E2020<br>Franck Biancheri, Director of Studies<br>***<br>Many website in the world have taken up fully or in part the article. Some of them made free translations in their national languages. <br>Though the accuracy cannot be certified, here are some of the links in other languages than French and English:<br><br>- Czech: Blíží se nejzávažnjší politická krize od roku 1989? <br>- German: 20.bis 26. März 2006: Iran-USA, Beginn einer großen Weltkrise<br>- Italian: 20-26 marzo 2006: verso una crisi politica mondiale?<br>- Norwegian: USA vs IRAN scenario<br>- Portugess: 20 a 26 de Março, 2006: Irão-EUA, início de uma crise mundial de grandes proporções (Maomé e a próxima guerra nuclear)<br>- Russian : News Finance<br><br>- Slovak : Pravda.sk<br>- Spanish: ¿Crise no mundo? 20 al 26 de Marzo de 2006: Iran/USA - Difusión de la Crisis Global<br> <br> <p></p><i></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby Byrne » Mon Mar 13, 2006 3:06 pm

Starman, it was me who posted the original LEAP/E2020 info.<br><br>I first discovered the thesis of US Wars being fought for the preservation of its hegemonic currency after reading the original article by William Clark - <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.ratical.org/ratville/CAH/RRiraqWar.html" target="top">The Real Reasons for the Upcoming War With Iraq</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--> in 2003. The article made more sense to me than any Official explanation of the Iraq War (non-existant WMD's, US previous complicity with SH etc.). Clark updated & provided a Post-war Commentary in January 2004.<br><br>William Clark has also written on the subject of the Iranian Oil Bourse (see <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/7707.html" target="top">here</a><!--EZCODE LINK END-->).<br><br>The place of the US Dollar as the world's reserve currency is threatened by the proposed Iranian Oil Bourse. We are told that the rush to <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>deal with</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> Iran is because of its <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>Nuclear programme</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END-->. <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>(Even though the Washington Post reported (*) that the most recent National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) of Iran’s nuclear program revealed that, “Iran is about a decade away from manufacturing the key ingredient for a nuclear weapon, roughly doubling the previous estimate of five years.”<br><br>(*) Dafina Linzer, “Iran Is Judged 10 Years From Nuclear Bomb U.S. Intelligence Review Contrasts With Administration Statements,” Washington Post, August 2, 2005; Page A01}</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--><br> <br>The Iranian Oil Bourse presents a threat to the present continuance of the US in allowing its <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.publicdebt.treas.gov/opd/opdpenny.htm" target="top">Public Debt</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--> to build up unchecked. Something has got to give, for fricks sake, but it looks like the US will spend billions more to undertake military action against Iran to stave off the threat to the dollar once more. <br><br>An incident that speaks volumes to me about the fallacy of the US currency situation is copied from <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.mises.org/story/1217#_edn1" target="top">here:</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--> I read about the stories of the US bringing over suitcases full of US $100 Dollar Bills into Iraq. I also read that all contractors etc. were paid in US Dollars cash.<br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr>As the Wall Street Journal tells its readers, when U.S. forces entered Baghdad April 9 (2003), the dinar traded at about 4,000 to a dollar.(i) Whenever U.S. personnel paid for anything in Iraq, it was in dollars, not (Iraqi) dinars. However, the dollar's apparent rise has gone south, as the Saddam dinar two weeks later traded at 1,800 to the dollar. To put it another way, <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>the dollar lost more than half of its value to what surely has to be one of the weakest currencies in the world.</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> The dinar, like the regime that printed it, was supposed to fade into history. Instead, it roared back to the point that it was even preferred, on the margin, to the mighty dollar.<br><br><!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>(i) Yaroslav Trofimov, "War Stories: Saddam Hussein is Scarce, but not the Saddam Dinar," Wall Street Journal, April 24, 2003.</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--><br><br><hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--> <p></p><i>Edited by: <A HREF=http://p216.ezboard.com/brigorousintuition.showUserPublicProfile?gid=byrne@rigorousintuition>Byrne</A> at: 3/13/06 12:08 pm<br></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby Gouda » Mon Mar 13, 2006 3:26 pm

Here's an alternative take on the Iranian Oil Bourse issue:<br><br><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK START--><a href="http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HC10Ak01.html">www.atimes.com/atimes/Mid...0Ak01.html</a><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK END--><br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>Why Iran's oil bourse can't break the buck</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br><br>By F William Engdahl <br><br>A number of writings have recently appeared with the thesis that the announced plans of the Iranian government to institute a Tehran oil bourse, perhaps as early as this month, is the real hidden reason behind the evident march to war on Iran by the Anglo-American powers. The thesis is simply wrong for many reasons, not least that war on Iran has been in planning since the 1990s as an integral part of the United States' Greater Middle East strategy...<br><br>-snip-<br><br>F William Engdahl is author of A Century of War: Anglo-American Oil Politics and the New World Order (Pluto Press). He can be reached through his website, www.engdahl.oilgeopolitics.net. <br> <hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--> N.B. This is the first I've seen of Engdahl's writing, and so I'm in no position to endorse or dissuade further reading. <p></p><i></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby sunny » Mon Mar 13, 2006 3:47 pm

Ron Paul (R Texas) has already sounded the warning that no one is heeding.<br><br><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK START--><a href="http://www.house.gov/paul/congrec/congrec2006/cr021506.htm">www.house.gov/paul/congre...021506.htm</a><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK END--><br><br><br>________________________________________________<br><br>Our whole economic system depends on continuing the current monetary arrangement, which means recycling the dollar is crucial. Currently, we borrow over $700 billion every year from our gracious benefactors, who work hard and take our paper for their goods. Then we borrow all the money we need to secure the empire (DOD budget $450 billion) plus more. The military might we enjoy becomes the “backing” of our currency. There are no other countries that can challenge our military superiority, and therefore they have little choice but to accept the dollars we declare are today’s “gold.” This is why countries that challenge the system-- like Iraq, Iran and Venezuela-- become targets of our plans for regime change.<br><br>Ironically, dollar superiority depends on our strong military, and our strong military depends on the dollar. As long as foreign recipients take our dollars for real goods and are willing to finance our extravagant consumption and militarism, the status quo will continue regardless of how huge our foreign debt and current account deficit become.<br><br>But real threats come from our political adversaries who are incapable of confronting us militarily, yet are not bashful about confronting us economically. That’s why we see the new challenge from Iran being taken so seriously. The urgent arguments about Iran posing a military threat to the security of the United States are no more plausible than the false charges levied against Iraq. Yet there is no effort to resist this march to confrontation by those who grandstand for political reasons against the Iraq war.<br><br>It seems that the people and Congress are easily persuaded by the jingoism of the preemptive war promoters. It’s only after the cost in human life and dollars are tallied up that the people object to unwise militarism.<br><br>The strange thing is that the failure in Iraq is now apparent to a large majority of American people, yet they and Congress are acquiescing to the call for a needless and dangerous confrontation with Iran.<br><br>___________________________________________________<br> <p></p><i></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby Gouda » Mon Mar 13, 2006 3:48 pm

Ah, this is interesting - from the Engdahl article quoted above: <br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr>Until some combination of those Eurasian powers congeal in a cohesive challenge to the unbridled domination of the United States as sole superpower, there will be no euro or yen or even Chinese yuan challenging the role of the dollar.<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--> Hmmm. An Atlanticist/Israeli foray into Iran might just be the thing to finally tick those "eurasian" powers off into retaliation. <br><br>So it may not be the Iranian oil bourse which drives the US to intervene in Iran (to protect petro-dollar hegemony), but a pre-determined course (regular corporate-imperial planning) which may spark a currency war with Eurasia, which would (ironically?) lead to real dollar troubles. Military pre-emption of the christening of the oil bourse in order to preserve the dollar may in fact have the reverse effect. War w/ Iran would weaken the US military further. So what is that? Who'll order that? <br><br><!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>editing: premature posting problems </em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> <p></p><i>Edited by: <A HREF=http://p216.ezboard.com/brigorousintuition.showUserPublicProfile?gid=gouda@rigorousintuition>Gouda</A> at: 3/13/06 12:53 pm<br></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby sunny » Mon Mar 13, 2006 11:20 pm

<!--EZCODE AUTOLINK START--><a href="http://cannonfire.blogspot.com/2006/03/more-angst-less-answers-some-ataraxis.html">cannonfire.blogspot.com/2...raxis.html</a><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK END--><br>(sunny here-I'm sorry the following article is so long; I just thought it was wonderful and needed to be read)<br><br>More angst, less answers, some ataraxis<br>dr. elsewhere here<br><br>Hearkening back to an earlier post, in which dr. elsewhere airs her angst, I’d like to revisit a couple of the questions raised in that discussion.<br><br>Though the unanimous response was hopeful and heartening (and so kind and compassionate, really a statement of the human spirit), there is likely no argument that we remain in a state of great flux teetering on the brink of chaos. We can certainly agree that things will continue to get worse before they get better, and that they could conceivably get much much worse.<br><br>Just to establish the common ground here, we can also certainly agree that the power structure that is this neocon misled administration is falling apart at the seams, with many of those self-serving Republicans who have heretofore been too blind or dumb or lazy or cowed to speak out are now doing just that, albeit most often with notable timidity and considerable qualifiers (still self-serving, of course). I would also posit that many of those who were once in the thick of all things neocon-powerful are now smelling the coffee and readying themselves to start straddling fences so as to assure self-preservation when the dust settles (include most Dems here; we have little reason to be proud of the deaf, dumb, and blind cowardice of our politicians in general). Some are even beginning to show signs of intending to clear those fences altogether, at least on certain issues (not least of which being the Dubai ports debacle), typically for the same purpose of saving one’s hide.<br><br>To highlight that scenario, I would also like to remind folks that there is no honor among thieves, and once the many balls of investigative exposures get rolling, we will see yet more self-serving behaviors in the forms of numerous coats turning on each other. It could get very interesting, in a rather perverse, voyeuristic fashion – to witness the ensuing feeding frenzy. Because that frenzy will come, sooner or later. It always does; this is the way of such things; in the scramble for power, all those happily feeding upon the weak will begin feeding upon each other when their own cushy positions are suddenly at risk. Given the scope and the stakes, things could get even more chaotic and gruesome than history has recorded heretofore. <br><br>These mindless, bloodthirsty, power-mongering nincompoops will not go down without a fight. Or an outright refusal that manifests in the form of a full-blown overt coup (as opposed to the slower subversive one now in play). Most of us anticipate and dread such events, replete with martial law, detention compounds, and suspension of everything that resembles American life, liberty, and pursuit of happiness. <br><br>So here we are again, at that question mark: What are we to do? <br><br>Three years ago, right after the 2002 “elections,” when I realized that another one had been stolen with astonishingly brazen cynicism, the unthinkable occurred to me: I don’t think we’re in a democracy anymore, Toto. Given the failure of the press to present the truth about 9/11, about our hapless president, about the corporatization of the country and the world, about the illegality of pre-emption, about the war drums being beaten about Iraq, about the complicity of the media in all these things (and all the torture and corruption and failures since then), we clearly no longer had a free press. And of course, we didn’t have real elections anymore. The USAPATRIOT Act had stripped us of many of our most crucial rights. All that was left was the coronation of the clown and the installation of all those new rules and exemptions to the old ones, à la Animal Farm, which are now coming at quite the clip.<br><br>But at that point, over three years ago, I realized I had only a passing notion of what it might mean to think outside a democracy. So I decided to read the writings of some folks who knew something about that kind of life. The two authors who impressed me the most were Gandhi and Vaçlav Hävel. At the risk of over-distilling the genius their lives each embody, I’ll offer what I took away from them for my own purposes of trying to navigate in this newfound democracy-not.<br><br>One of Gandhi’s greatest quotes is actually a variation on the theme of our Declaration of Independence, that the power of governments derives from the consent of the governed. He, in a tone so typical to Eastern thought, presented it merely as an observation, whereas our document of liberty assumed this point as a premise, and therefore a demand: Government requires the cooperation of the governed. The American Revolutionaries took this as a fundamental right upon which to build a new kind of government, but they first used it as a strategy to subvert the iron hand of the Crown. Gandhi placed this premise alongside the non-violent (ahimsa) cornerstone of his resistance philosophy; just stop cooperating. The Crown gained immense revenues and taxes from salt, so Indian natives were forbidden to gather it, a ritual they had practiced for millennia. Gandhi recognized the absurdity of so ancient a practice being forbidden, let alone taxed, so he led a massive salt-gathering event as the maiden test of the power of refusing to cooperate. (Compare this incident to the Boston Tea Party.) Ultimately Gandhi won out because England was being internationally shamed into facing the hypocrisy of claiming the white man’s burden to protect and guide the lesser hordes while slaughtering them en masse. (Compare this shame to the current hypocrisy of invading Iraq with our brand of democracy that includes torture and suspension of habeas corpus.)<br><br>Hävel’s situation was slightly different in emergence and application, but the same in principle: Government can be rendered irrelevant without the participation of the governed. In Eastern bloc countries of the Soviet Republic, any and all dissent and resistance was routinely and brutally crushed. Western European and especially British niceties of legal rights such as fair hearings were thoroughly unfamiliar in this mindset that had only freed the serfs around the time slavery was abolished in the US. All the great and passionate leaders of resistance movements and rights activists were being summarily snuffed or gulaged by the central Soviet authorities, and the communities that harbored them were being brutally punished with increasing frequency. <br><br>Consequently, the dissidents were forced to shift focus from resistance to sheer survival. What Hävel described was, interestingly, a far truer adherence to the pure notions of the Communist collective than anything the Moscow government ever manifested, but such ironies and hypocrisies are the stuff of power politics. The people in these villages were forced to become real communities, microcosms of self-governance in survival mode. They saw to it that every single villager had access to food, water, shelter, clothing, education, and medical care, to their best abilities and resources (compare this to Hamas in the Palestine Occupied Territories). If they needed something big, like a turbine or antibiotics, they dealt only with the local Soviet representative, who after all had to live there among them. Everyone worked and contributed, and everyone shared whatever they had. The needy were tended to, and no one profited at anyone’s expense. Given that they were constantly fighting to survive, actually, no one profited at all. Unless one counts surviving against horrific odds a “profit” and not a loss. Yet another irony here is that such a “utopian” vision may only be fully realized under the most dire of circumstances. <br><br>Many reasons have been forwarded in explanation for the implosion of the USSR. Republicans love to think it was Reagan’s genius and strength of leadership that forced them into bankruptcy by ratcheting up the arms race and bullying them into tearing down that wall. Whatever (you’d think they might consider how this strategy applies to our own military now, but whatever). Others site rampant corruption, which no doubt contributed, given the abundant evidence for organized crime dominating their economy now. But Hävel suggested that the more likely reason the Soviet government collapsed was that these real collectives, surviving despite the government and without any real dependency on them, had rendered the government irrelevant. Government had ceased to exist because the governed did not even need it anymore.<br><br>There has likely never been in history a culture more dependent on its government than US citizens are right now. Every single thing we require, from food and water to heat and shelter, depends upon huge grids and structures over which we as citizens have no control, into which we have no real input. It’s all lobbyists and profiteers, and none of those folks ever bothers to stop and think about mere survival. They just want another, bigger yacht and a villa on the Riviera. And most of us mere citizens just want another, bigger SUV and a house in the Hamptons. <br><br>What is both scary and exciting – as in, hopeful – is that, regardless of what this godforsaken government does, regardless of how bad their crimes and tyranny and war-mongering get, we are all ultimately going to be faced with that “mere survival” situation, and quite possibly within our lifetime. We might fear the insanity and cruelty of oppressive powers, but that will not hold a candle to struggling against the wrath of Mother Earth when she has had enough of being so mindlessly abused. <br><br>Regardless of whether we are surviving tyranny or Nature’s revolt against us, though, the ultimate solution will be the same. We’ll be forced to shed the mortal coil of all this superfluous crap and remember what it’s like to simply survive. And we can only do that together, as communities, where no one loses out and no one takes the lion’s share. Recycling, though of course a good effort toward staving off the inevitable annihilation of the planet, is alas somehow a somewhat cosmetic solution. Do any of us really know what happens to all those plastic water bottles and to-go boxes after we place them on the curb? We have become so completely out of touch with, so abstracted from, the earth that sustains us – indeed, even alienated from the basic awareness that it is always and ultimately the earth that sustains us – that none of us could really easily make the transition from our lives of running water, flush toilets, delivered food and heat, and waste removal, let alone airports and cell phones and SUVs, to anything more primitive. Most of us have encountered this rough kind of life on camping trips or visits to third world countries, but these are really just survival voyeurism. We’re not even phoning it in because we’ve totally lost the number. <br><br>My point in all this, I suppose, is to suggest first of all that our only hope for surviving the multifarious insanities of our current world is likely to simply render the insane leaders irrelevant by tending to the needs of our local communities without dependencies upon the powers that be, as best we can. And be prepared for the worst, of course, by recognizing that the basics are really all that matters: food, water, clothing, shelter, medicine, education. Even safety and security tend to take care of themselves to a great extent when everyone is working together, when no one is exploiting his neighbors, and no one is going without. <br><br>Blessed are the meek, for they shall possess the land. <br><br>A second corollary suggestion might be the simple caution to consider that the principles we are ultimately espousing may only be most fully realized at that edge of survival, or at least with a keen eye to that edge. Once survival and security are assured, then it’s just too tempting to take them for granted and to start harboring what you have, and from there, it’s a slippery slope to hoarding and hating any and all who might take it away. <br><br>Still, it is also true that, in those minimal circumstances, folks certainly tend to show their worst, sabotaging the entire community efforts in greedy desperation for survival of the fittest individual, damn the species. Life at the edge will bring out either the best or the worst in us all, make no mistake. So here we are yet again at yet another crucial juncture asking yet another fundamental question: How will each of us decide these priorities for ourselves? How will each of us determine our own principles that guide our actions, where will we draw the lines of compromise, when will we be able to sacrifice integrity, or instead, life itself? <br><br>The truth is, we are each faced with these same questions, though on a much smaller scale in terms of immediate consequences, every day. Will we purchase the big SUV for safety, or the hybrid to save the planet? Will we go to WalMart to save money, knowing full well this exploits foreign workers and denies our neighbors decent jobs? Will we speak up when our bosses are mismanaging or worse, or keep our mouths shut, even when someone else loses their job unjustly for the boss’s crimes, or worse, for speaking up when you didn’t? <br><br>How does one make those decisions? None of them is a matter of life or death. And yet many will equivocate over a few dollars or the need to keep a job so the mortgage and credit cards can be paid. All that money and all that stuff, so little content, and evidently no contentment. <br><br>If we consider that our smallest decisions are often made from vague, unspoken feelings of discontent, then perhaps it is worth considering the possibility that not only is this a bottomless pit, but that larger decisions of greater consequence made from such a place only translate as greed and can only bring destruction. Logically then, in order to find a way out of this bottomless pit, the best guiding principle might well be gratitude, which is the opposite of greed. It’s impossible to be generous when greed is driving the system; what passes as charity in the greedy is really only patronizing self-service. But it is impossible not to be charitable when gratitude prevails. <br><br>And if you would like something to feel grateful for in all this chaos, I submit it is the chaos itself. Chaos is our harbinger of doom, sure, but also of great changes. If we can all agree that the human experiment has gone seriously awry, then great change is absolutely necessary. We are all frustrated and angry and on edge and floundering in angst precisely because things are so wrong and in need of radical correction. And the transition occurring within the chaos is so terribly uncertain; anything can happen except the old pattern. So take heart; nature always survives, even if we don’t. The planet will correct for the insanity, even if we won’t. What I am suggesting here is that the key to survival lies far deeper than recycling and protesting and holding criminals to truth, and deeper even than refusing to cooperate, though all these actions arise naturally from a deeper motivation, a fundamental principle. That deeper motivation must always be kept in mind – indeed, it should be adopted as a state of mind rather than taken as a set of principles – and should be clearly grasped for that purpose in order for it to be the shaping force of every action. This state of mind is precisely the opposite of compassionate conservatism, which in itself is something of an oxymoron. Instead, this state of mind is a compassionate benevolence, borne of gratitude and directed toward all. Y’know, that love thang.<br><br>Odd, isn’t it, how the real bottom line distills into this pearl of love and gratitude that all the holy saints have known as compassion, benevolence. Not religion per se, not as it is generally practiced, that distorted dogma that abstracts a person’s own mind from awareness of our own feelings and intuitions, our own sense of what is right and wrong in each unique instance rather than relying on a set of absolutes that will inevitably face exceptions. No; ultimately we must each face each decision in each circumstance before us with the simplest but most fundamental principle that generalizes across all conceivable instances. And there can be no question that for any prayer of success – of mere survival – all our actions must be informed by such a motivation, such a state of mind. Do unto others as you would have them do unto you. Do no harm. If anyone harms (others), God will harm him, and if anyone shows hostility to others, God will show hostility to him. Make every decision with consideration of how it will affect those of the seventh generation. All variations on this same theme. <br><br>Please trust me; I never dreamed I’d end up here. All I had in mind when I started this piece was what I’d learned from Gandhi and Hävel. But that part raised as many questions as it answered, so I just kept going. And, well, there you are.<br><br>Or, actually, here we are….<br><br>…still screaming about injustice. But, hey….<br>Blessed are they that hunger and thirst after justice, for they shall have their fill.<br>Blessed are they that suffer persecution for justice' sake, for theirs is the kingdom of heaven. <br> <p></p><i></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby chiggerbit » Tue Mar 14, 2006 1:23 am

Oh, sheet, we are in deep doo-doo due to our brain-damaged "leader".<br><br><br><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK START--><a href="http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/">www.talkingpointsmemo.com/</a><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK END--><br><br>(March 13, 2006 -- 09:25 PM EST // link)<br>The Independent: "Middle Eastern anger over the decision by the US to block a Dubai company from buying five of its ports hit the dollar yesterday <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>as a number of central banks said they were considering switching reserves into euros.</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> The United Arab Emirates, which includes Dubai, said it was looking to move one-tenth of its dollar reserves into euros, while the governor of the Saudi Arabian central bank condemned the US move as 'discrimination'. Separately, Syria responded to US sanctions against two of its banks by confirming plans to use euros instead of dollars for its external transactions."<br><br><br>-- Josh Marshall <p></p><i></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby Byrne » Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:26 am

There have been many quoting F. William Engdahl as saying:<br><br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>The Iranian Oil Bourse will not affect the US Dollar. </strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> <br><br>Whereas, what Engdahl is <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>really</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> saying is:<br><br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>The Iranian Oil Bourse will not</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> be allowed to <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>affect the US Dollar</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> because (US) military measures will be implemented upon Iran. <br><br>Engdahl does not mention that such military measures will be fallaciously triggered by the Iranian Nuclear ‘problem’, nor that were such interventionist measures NOT taken by the US, then the US Dollar would be significantly affected.<br><br>F. William Engdahl, I believe, knows his stuff. His <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.engdahl.oilgeopolitics.net/" target="top">website</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--> has a number of excellent articles analysing geopolitics & geoeconomics.<br><br>His article <br><!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.engdahl.oilgeopolitics.net/Geopolitics/Iran_Oil_Bourse/iran_oil_bourse.html" target="top">Why Iran's oil bourse can't break the buck </a><!--EZCODE LINK END--> states a number of points (quoted below) which makes his position clear.<br><br>Since 1979 the US power establishment, from Wall Street to Washington, has maintained the status of the dollar as unchallenged global reserve currency. That role, however, is <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>not a purely economic one</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END-->. Reserve-currency status is an adjunct of global power, of the US determination to dominate other nations and the global economic process. The United States didn't get reserve-currency status by a democratic vote of world central banks, nor did the British Empire in the 19th century. They fought wars for it. <br><br>"For that reason, <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>the status of the dollar</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> as reserve currency <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>depends on the status of the United States as the world's unchallenged military superpower</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END-->. In a sense, since August 1971 the dollar is no longer backed by gold. Instead, it is backed by F-16s and Abrams battle tanks, operating in some 130 US bases around the world, <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>defending</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> liberty and <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>the dollar</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END-->."<br><br>Have a listen to Engdahl discussing the US Debt etc. in this MP3<br><!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.engdahl.oilgeopolitics.net/fsn2005-0924-2.mp3" target="top">www.engdahl.oilgeopolitics.net/fsn2005-0924-2.mp3</a><!--EZCODE LINK END-->. The discussion is very interesting but gets particularly interesting (w.r.t. Iran/WW3) from 35 minutes onwards.<br><br>Transcribing some of his comments:<br>When asked how can the US continue to force the world to 'swallow' the (massive) US debt, Engdahl states:<br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong><!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>I think some people in the Pentagon are very concious of this and one of the [options] is, I hate to say it, a military solution to this....We are coming to a very dangerous period...</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--></strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br><br>My view is that the Iranian Oil Bourse WOULD have a devastating effect on the US Dollar, but it won't be allowed to happen. But what lies next around the corner? THE BUCK MUST STOP SOMEWHERE!<br><br><br> <p></p><i></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby Gouda » Tue Mar 14, 2006 1:24 pm

Well, actually, what he really <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>said</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> is that an Iranian Oil Bourse would <!--EZCODE UNDERLINE START--><span style="text-decoration:underline">not</span><!--EZCODE UNDERLINE END--> effect the status of the US dollar as the global reserve currency, in part because the EU is not (yet?) ready to challenge the hegemony of the dollar (thus, the USA). Note: it is the EU (in combination with, say, Russia and China), not Iran, which could challenge US Dollar Power. He says: <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>"Until some combination of those Eurasian powers congeal in a cohesive challenge to the unbridled domination of the United States as sole superpower, there will be no euro or yen or even Chinese yuan challenging the role of the dollar."</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br><br>Here is what he says in arguing that the Iranian Oil Bourse leading to war idea is a fallacy: <br><br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>"The thesis is simply wrong for many reasons, not least that war on Iran has been in planning since the 1990s as an integral part of the United States' Greater Middle East strategy."</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br><br>-and-<br><br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>"More significant, the oil-bourse argument is a red herring that diverts attention from the real geopolitical grounds behind the march toward war"</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br><br>Then he quotes Chris Cook, former director of the London International Petroleum Exchange: <!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr>It is therefore with wry amusement that I have seen a myth being widely propagated on the Internet that the genesis of this "Iran bourse" project is a wish to subvert the US dollar by denominating oil pricing in euros. <br><br>As anyone familiar with the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will know, the denomination of oil sales in currencies other than the dollar is not a new subject, and as anyone familiar with economics will tell you, the denomination of oil sales is merely a transactional issue: what matters is in what assets (or, in the case of the United States, liabilities) these proceeds are then invested.<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--> So I get the impression he is not a fan of the Iranian Oil Bourse theory. Furthermore, if the dollar is backed by F16's (which need dollars), or as the Honorable Ron Paul put it, "Ironically, dollar superiority depends on our strong military, and our strong military depends on the dollar" then a military foray into Iran would so overstretch and demoralize the military, dollar hegemony would lose more than if a euro-demominated oil bourse came into being in the first place. As Chigger notes, Arab states are ready to and are already dumping dollars. A war with Iran would be the last straw, methinks, which cold trigger more widespread economic retaliation against the dollar - that is, if everyone ain't too shocked by the new tactical nukes they test in Tehran. Or they allow Israel and/or get NATO to help out in a big way. <br><br>Anyway, I have a feeling that <!--EZCODE UNDERLINE START--><span style="text-decoration:underline">Japan</span><!--EZCODE UNDERLINE END--> will be the key eventually, sooner or later, with the answer to US hegemony. But that's another story. <br><br>Anywho, I ain't one to quibble over economics, really, when we've got a big ole' shitstorm this way coming and we ought to be working on creative ways to pre-empt this. <br> <p></p><i></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby greencrow0 » Tue Mar 14, 2006 1:51 pm

<!--EZCODE AUTOLINK START--><a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/7707.html">www.energybulletin.net/7707.html</a><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK END--><br><br>Thanks for the link. William Clark's award winning article on Iraq was the pivot point for me in understanding the geostrategic aims of the US in the run up to the War On Iraq...this article does the same for the run up to the War on Iran.<br><br>Regards,<br><br>GC <p></p><i></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby Byrne » Tue Mar 14, 2006 2:15 pm

Gouda,<br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr>war on Iran has been in planning since the 1990s as an integral part of the United States' Greater Middle East strategy." & behind the march toward war<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--><br><br>Engdahl, it appears, is convinced that a war with Iran will occur. The statement that the Iranian Oil Bourse is/would have been the cause of such a war is an Unprovable Statement.<br><br>More recent news on the <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>Iranian Oil Bourse</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> is <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://prudentinvestor.blogspot.com/2006/03/more-news-on-iranian-oil-bourse.html" target="top">here</a><!--EZCODE LINK END-->.<br><br>With regards to creative ways to pre-empt such a war....., I thought I was doing my wee bit publicising the Iranian Oil Bourse information which, co-incidentally, is being comprehensively ignored by the Mainstream News Media. Other than that? Go on <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.stopwar.org.uk/march20/events.asp" target="top">one of the 228 No. Stop-The-War marches</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--> that are taking place this Saturday 18th March, any other ideas?<br><br>STOP THE WAR COALITION UK <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.stopwar.org.uk/" target="top">www.stopwar.org.uk/</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--> <br><br>TO KEEP UP TO DATE WITH THE UK MILITARY FAMILIES AGAINST THE WAR CAMPAIGN, GO TO: <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.mfaw.org.uk/" target="top">www.mfaw.org.uk/</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--> <br><br>TO KEEP UP TO DATE WITH THE US MILITARY FAMILIES SPEAK OUT CAMPAIGN, GO TO: <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.mfso.org/" target="top">www.mfso.org/</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--><br><br><br><!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>You might ask what it takes to remember <br>When you know that you've seen it before <br>Where a government lies to a people <br>And a country is drifting to war <br>And there's a shadow on the faces <br>Of the men who send the guns <br>To the wars that are fought in places <br>Where their business interest runs</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> <br><br><br> <p></p><i></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby chiggerbit » Tue Mar 14, 2006 3:00 pm

I don't think this is a myth, and the danger just escalated with the Dubai ports snafu, with was terribly insulting to the UAE. Take a look at the list of top ten countries estimated oil reserves and tell me how many of that list are not pissed at us or might have an axe to grind. If they got together, this could be serious. We've either trashed (Iraq) or insulted or continually intimidated, threatened three-fourths of these countries. We keep using the threat of sanctions against several of these countries. What if they got together and sanctioned us?<br><br>Shoot, lost the link, but I had transcribed this, so it should do:<br><br>Top 10 oil producing countries<br><br>Oil reserves<br><br>Saudi Arabia 261<br>Canada 180<br>Iraq 112<br>UAE 97<br>Kuwait 96<br>Iran 89<br>Venezuela 77<br>Russia 60<br>Libya 29<br>Nigeria 24 <p></p><i>Edited by: <A HREF=http://p216.ezboard.com/brigorousintuition.showUserPublicProfile?gid=chiggerbit@rigorousintuition>chiggerbit</A> at: 3/14/06 12:04 pm<br></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby professorpan » Tue Mar 14, 2006 3:17 pm

If Clark's thesis is correct, I would imagine that a "terrorist" attack is likely in the next several months. Another 9/11 would give Cheney the opportunity to go ahead with his "nuke Iran" plan, and would sufficiently rally the frightened masses into acquiescence. <br><br>And it would help extend neocon/war profiteer wet dream known as the <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>Long War.</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br><br>I really hope it doesn't happen. But I'm scared shitless that it might.<br><br>And think of how another round of Shock 'n Awe would boost the Bush Cult's sagging approval ratings. <p></p><i></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby * » Tue Mar 14, 2006 4:05 pm

<br> thanks, sunny.<br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr><br> "If we consider that our smallest decisions are often made from vague, unspoken feelings of discontent, then perhaps it is worth considering the possibility that not only is this a bottomless pit, but that larger decisions of greater consequence made from such a place only translate as greed and can only bring destruction. Logically then, in order to find a way out of this bottomless pit, the best guiding principle might well be gratitude, which is the opposite of greed. It’s impossible to be generous when greed is driving the system; what passes as charity in the greedy is really only patronizing self-service. But it is impossible not to be charitable when gratitude prevails."<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--><br><br><br> <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em> "...Thus, today Western man looks into his inner being and asks why it is that he is driven by instincts and cravings. To him they appear devoid of spirit because he is not yet organized to perceive the spiritual in them. Yet every instinct or craving, whether good or bad, is spiritual. It may be a very evil insinct that comes to expression in one or another person, but even the most brutal urge is spiritual. The human race is always in the process of development; it must advance to such spirituality that when man looks into himself and perceives his instincts, urges and cravings he sees everywhere in them the spiritual. This will come about in the future.<br> It makes no difference in this respect whether a person has good or bad instincts; if they are bad it is because either Luciferic or Ahrimanic spirits hold sway in him. But they are spirits.<br> The assumption that the driving force in man is his instincts is, as far as being aware of the spiritual reality is concerned, similar to the earlier assumption in regard to ghosts. In ancient times spirituality was perceptible to man in the Orient (India). As it evolved further it became as I described,....a belief in ghosts, a perception of ghosts..<br> From where we are at present (1922) within world evolution we look back to a time when a belief in ghosts emerged from a former spirituality; at the same time we look towards the future and forsee a time when once again pure spiritual perception will emerge. But at present we also have a belief in ghosts, in inner ghosts. Those who believe in outer ghosts fail to see the spiritual reality in them and regard them as something that can be seen with physical eyes. Western man today, whenhe looks into himself, also fails to see the spiritual reality. The way he regards instincts, urges and cravings makes them into ghosts which today precede a future spirituality, while the ghosts of oldfollowed an earlier spirituality.<br> One could also say that from East to West an ancient pure spirituality developed which was followed, in the course of time, by a belief in ghosts, of which remnants are still with us. From West to East, approaching us, a later spirituality is developing which will become reality in a far distant future. The way modern man visualizes urges, instincts and cravings, in which the beginning of the new spirituality reveals itself, makes them as ghost-like as the former ghosts. This outlook makes the educated person regard with disdain the common belief in ghosts. At the same time he attributes to man ghost-like instincts, urges and cravings. What he does not realize is that the belief in ghosts held by the masses, has as much scientific validity as his belief in desires, urges and instincts. His belief is in ghosts announcing a new beginning just as the masses have a belief in ghosts that marks an ending. Our European civilization has become so chaotic because it is the scene of collision between the old and the new ghosts.<br> In a West-East aporism I have breifly characterized how, on the one hand, modern man has been for some time influenced by the ancient heritage of Oriental (Indian) spiritualit which has become a belief in ghosts, and how, on the other hand, he is influenced by the beginning of a spirituality that is now germinating which, </em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> through materialistic interpretation,<!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em> has turned man's instincts, urges and desires into ghosts. Those which are usually called ghosts are spirits which appear materialized through man's organization. the modern ghosts, pointing to the future, consisting of man's urges, instincts, desires amd passions, have not yet become dematerialized; they have not yet become spiritual.<br> Man's inner soul life, particularly in Europe, takes its course within this peculiar chaotic condition created by the interaction of old and new ghosts. It is essential that man attain spiritual insight in order to arrive at a clear understanding of both. Not only man's view of the world is dependent upon such insight; but also human life on earth as a whole is dependent upon it. That this must be so follows from the fact that it is not only man's spiritual or cultural life that is derived from his particular nature; but also his life of rights or political life and his economic life.<br> ..... to enable human beings to recognize, out of their own effort and in full conciousness, the divine spiritual deeds within them. When this stage is reached man will also cease to see his urges and instincts as inner ghosts. The way they are imagined at present they are as much ghosts as the external ones. The external ghosts are not mere delusions; they are divine spiritual forces which appear materialized by being incorrectly seen through man's senses. The divine spiritual forces active in man today are seen incorrectly when they are visualized as urges and instincts.<br> The external ghosts are scorned today, but what is looked upon as a science deals with nothing but inner ghosts. Man must participate to bring about the transformation intended for him within cosmic evolution. Impulses in this direction ought to permeate every aspect of our culture. This would provide the possibility for man to overcome the forces of decline in their chaotic interaction with forces of ascent against which man still fights, and then strive towards the future stages in man's evolution by being inspired and motivated from the spirit. On this everything depends..."</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> <!--EZCODE UNDERLINE START--><span style="text-decoration:underline">The Human Soul in Relation to World Evolution</span><!--EZCODE UNDERLINE END--> Rudolf Steiner<br><br><br><br><br> <p></p><i></i>
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Re: March 20-26: Iran-USA, Beginning of a Major World Crisis

Postby Gouda » Tue Mar 14, 2006 4:22 pm

Sure Iran is on the plate, everyone can agree on that. And yes, if all the listed countries band up to overthrow US dollar hegemony, then there would be real problem for the US dollar. But I think it is a titanic game of bluff, and no one bourse is enough. Will the US invade Norway, for example, when it switches its bourse to euro-denominated trading? Iran was on the plate long before an Iranian Bourse was even a sperm of an idea. That is one of Engdahl’s main points. Anyway, besides Venezuala, Russia and Iran, I see no real 'enemies' of the 'US' on the oil-supplier list chiggerbit supplied. (In fact, Venezuela has no beef at all with the american people). The criminal elite of the US and the criminal elite of the listed countries are birds of a feather and need to cooperate, one, because they have common (dollar) vested interests, and two, they all have this common population problem, called “people” - too many potentially restless breeding grunts who don't appreciate their misery and exploitation, and have a penchant for water, food, fuel, shelter, land, resources.<br><br>Byrne, good links, for a start. Jeff Wells (if I may appeal to an "authoritative" source, dear Sepka) has posted many times, making the point that one protest now and then doth not a movement make or a system change. My inner authority agrees. Get out there RI-ers, now I think we’ve got some info ammo and a knowledge base to work with. Target, boycott, divest, sell, strike, march, disobey, sit-in, stand-up, wallpaper, jam, sing, rock, write, educate, educate, educate, meet/protest/organize every week instead of every 2 years. Make everything political while de-politicizing people. “Be the media” as Bamabecky advocates. Be a double agent – infiltrate the establishment. Support whistleblowers and whistleblow if you know something. Get out of the stock and bond markets and reinvest in newsletters, pamphleteering. Look into micro-economies and barter. Bombard the democrats. Sell off the friggin IRA account and support anti-war, anti-corporate 3rd party candidates. Invest instead in people. Volunteer. This has to be a full time job, even on the job. Sell the car & support your favorite bloggers. We’ll be needing a whole lot more of ACLU and related groups in the near future. Support them. Support Vets for peace. Back up all information on hard copy or CD or UBS flash drive or whatever. Study thy enemy. Heck, if those Orgono’Zapper things really work, use ‘em, though I prefer Zapatistas. Start making contingency plans with trusted friends (emergency contact info, anonymous email accounts, meeting places etc). Tune in and turn on your family, friends, neighbors, and colleagues. Listen to others. Stay humble but firm. Be the change you’d like to see. The means you choose in your struggle are the ends you desire. And fear not. <br><br>Check it out: <!--EZCODE AUTOLINK START--><a href="http://artactivism.members.gn.apc.org/stories.htm">artactivism.members.gn.ap...tories.htm</a><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK END--><br><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK START--><a href="http://www.weareeverywhere.org/">www.weareeverywhere.org/</a><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK END--><br><br>***<br><br>“Power’s fence of war closes in on the rebels, for whom humanity is always grateful. But fences are broken. The rebels, whom history repeatedly has given the length of its long trajectory, struggle and the fence is broken. The rebels search each other out. They walk toward one another. They find each other and together break other fences.”<br>- Subcomandante Insurgente Marcos<br><br>The neoliberal/neocon/corporate fascist global elite have a quixotic dream, and you know what it is. Why can’t we have ours? <br><br><!--EZCODE IMAGE START--><img src="http://www.narconews.com/images/quixotemolino.JPG" style="border:0;"/><!--EZCODE IMAGE END--><br><br>“…the true knight-errant, though he may see ten giants, that not only touch the clouds with their heads but pierce them, and that go, each of them, on two tall towers by way of legs, and whose arms are like the masts of mighty ships, and each eye like a great mill-wheel, and glowing brighter than a glass furnace, must not on any account be dismayed by them. On the contrary, he must attack and fall upon them with a gallant bearing and a fearless heart, and, if possible, vanquish and destroy them.”<br><br>– Don Quixote (Chapter VI), by Miguel Cervantes <p></p><i>Edited by: <A HREF=http://p216.ezboard.com/brigorousintuition.showUserPublicProfile?gid=gouda@rigorousintuition>Gouda</A> at: 3/14/06 1:23 pm<br></i>
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